mtzlplk Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 Your numbers seem to be very likely, but maybe 280k for 4 minutes when the video is just released is too much. I hope I am wrong! I am purely basing my predix on that popularity bar thing and using last week's numbers of some songs to extrapolate with... I do hope MADONNA sells 270k-280k more than double that of USHER, it will seal MADONNA's 13th #1... if not, we have APRIL 21 to look forward to... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 isn't 4m at 38+ already and where's nearly 2 days to gain more not much difference ofcourse not yet... it was 30.3M at BDS last week then it's said to have added just 3.1M so far for the last three days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catboy Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 more airplay less sales needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zezwer Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 more airplay less sales needed. both are needed... they complement eachother... but yeah... 4M desperately needs more airplay on the major formats to get that #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiveItToMe Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 I am purely basing my predix on that popularity bar thing and using last week's numbers of some songs to extrapolate with... iTunes should take it a step further and post daily download totals. They probably don't because Billboard would be pissed off because it would make it very easy to predict chart posistions. I'm sure Billboard HATES hitsdailydouble.com as it is because they are pretty accurate when it comes to the album chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brisy_Boy Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 iTunes should take it a step further and post daily download totals. I'm sure that iTunes don't want to expose their sales to competitors also... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiveItToMe Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 more airplay less sales needed. No way! It is somewhat possible to make it to #1 based purely on sales but virtually impossible to make it based purely on airplay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catboy Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 No way! It is somewhat possible to make it to #1 based purely on sales but virtually impossible to make it based purely on airplay. I mean if she gets more airplay this week, she'll need less downloads to surpass Mariah. 4M is growing more than TBM lately. TMB must be in its peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brisy_Boy Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 I mean if she gets more airplay this week, she'll need less downloads to surpass Mariah. 4M is growing more than TBM lately. TMB must be in its peak. This is going to be hard... if Madonna gets to #01 this week is by a nail... Mariah is getting to her airplay peak while Madonna airplay peak is hoppefully arriving only at the end of April when the album is released.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catboy Posted April 6, 2008 Share Posted April 6, 2008 This is going to be hard... if Madonna gets to #01 this week is by a nail... Mariah is getting to her airplay peak while Madonna airplay peak is hoppefully arriving only at the end of April when the album is released.... If it's not this week the last chance would be - as you said - when the album is released. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 3/17/2008 4.113M AudImps 413 spins 3/18/2008 7.292M AudImps 802 spins --------------------------------------------- 3/19/2008 10.350M AudImp 1246 spins 3/20/2008 13.762M AudImp 1734 spins 3/21/2008 17.341M AudImp 2236 spins 3/22/2008 21.316M AudImp 2825 spins 3/23/2008 24.528M AudImp 3320 spins 3/24/2008 24.657M AudImp 3534 spins 3/25/2008 25.364M AudImp 3796 spins --------------------------------------------- 3/26/2008 26.652M AudImp 4071 spins 3/27/2008 27.908M AudImp 4339 spins 3/28/2008 28.502M AudImp 4555 spins 3/29/2008 29.752M AudImp 4765 spins 3/30/2008 30.560M AudImp 4943 spins 3/31/2008 31.527M AudImp 5159 spins 4/01/2008 32.500M AudImp 5326 spins --------------------------------------------- 4/02/2008 33.352M AudImp 5479 spins 4/03/2008 34.280M AudImp 5622 spins 4/04/2008 35.340M AudImp 5771 spins 4/05/2008 36.495M AudImp 5982 spins 4/06/2008 38.349M AudImp 6255 spins POP - 138 stations (from yesterday's 137, there are around 140+) RHYTHMIC - 43 stations (from yesterday's 42, there around 100+ max) HOTAC - 41 stations (from yesterday's 34, there are around 110+ max) WOW huge station gain in HOTAC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brisy_Boy Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 This is so cool! HOTAC usually only want to Play Hits and with the song getting to #03 on HOT 100 is starting to be played by them! This is so good! The almost 2 million gain is also pretty good! The next HOT 100 will probably be arround 42 million AI as airplay today and tomorrow still count for this next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iasonas Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 (edited) The big jump, hopefully, will come after Thursday because the song will be no1 on the hot digital tracks! And, I don't know If anyone saw ratethemusic.com! The song is no1 on the top40/pop format! That is to say, the song works on the demographics! You can visit the site of your local radio station and join the 'rate the music' team or go to ratethemusic.com! The song was also the breakout song on Ryan's Seacrest top40 show.. And because of that they ask if people like it! Vote here with ONE click and spread the link to friends! ONE click! This link is important! Not like all the others for requests bla bla... Select that you 'Like it a Lot'! http://ratethemusic.com/css_poll.cgi?ent=590&code=29333 Edited April 7, 2008 by Jasonakos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ercos Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 MEDIABASE UPDATE : POP - 4,781 Rhythmic - 979 Hot AC - 385 AC - 21 Urban - 88 6,255 spins as of April 6 Total AI : 38.35M 4M is nearing its 40M AI mark. nice!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 ^Not this week, but maybe in the following weeks. Airplay needs to be stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flotando Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 (edited) Even if airplay reaches 60M she will always have to outsell Usher and Mariah for 60K downloads at least, so it's difficult. Release week will be the best chance to reach #1 specially if she cares for doing some kind of TV promo like Oprah. Which is quite unlikely though... Edited April 7, 2008 by flotando Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 things are really looking very good for the POP format... TMB seems to have stalled USHER is having minimal movement and the only ones having significant increases are LEONA and MADONNA... she will pretty much match DAD airplay.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gus Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 From botoxic: April 6, 2008 Total Spins: 6448 1 at Alternative 21 at AC 385 at Hot AC 4781 at Pop 979 at Rhythmic 171 at Rhythmic AC 22 at Latin 88 at Urban Total Impressions: 40.216 million 0.260 at AC 2.204 at Hot AC 30.192 at Pop 5.416 at Rhythmic 1.725 at Rhythmic AC 0.142 at Latin 0.277 at Urban NuStations Yesterday: KHMX Houston (H) KRCL Salt Lake City (AAA) KMXB Las Vegas (H) WINK Ft. Meyers (H) KLTG Corpus Christi (H) Hung Up - Day 21 Thu Nov 3 - 633 spins, 3.911 million impressions After 21 days of airplay, 4452 spins, 27.306 million impressions (+102 spins, +0.643 million impressions) 4 Minutes - Day 21 Sun Apr 6 - 965 spins, 6.184 million impressions (214 stations) After 21 days of airplay, 6448 spins, 40.216 million impressions (+255 spins, +1.782 million impressions) Obviously a banner day, due in some part to national countdown debuts, and the 40 million barrier has been broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindi Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 Yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gus Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 From bks: With 2 days to go, here's how Usher, Mariah, Jordin, Leona & Madonna look on the building Hot 100 Airplay chart: No. 1 - Usher (+5.2 million) No. 2 - Mariah (+2.0 million) No. 5 - Jordin (+15.8 million) No. 10 - Leona (+10.5 million) No. 29 - Madonna (+5.0 million) Usher and Mariah continue to track at No. 1 and No. 2 over on Hot R&B Airplay as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davejr. Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 From bks: With 2 days to go, here's how Usher, Mariah, Jordin, Leona & Madonna look on the building Hot 100 Airplay chart: No. 1 - Usher (+5.2 million) No. 2 - Mariah (+2.0 million) No. 5 - Jordin (+15.8 million) No. 10 - Leona (+10.5 million) No. 29 - Madonna (+5.0 million) Usher and Mariah continue to track at No. 1 and No. 2 over on Hot R&B Airplay as well. wer do u get ur building hot 100 numbers?can u take me there..tnx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 where did my post go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Camacho Posted April 7, 2008 Author Share Posted April 7, 2008 wer do u get ur building hot 100 numbers?can u take me there..tnx It's not directly available to the public. It's only accessible to industry people and insiders. You have to wait till one of those insiders posts it online on one of the chart forums (often bks on Pulse). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bad Robot Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 where did my post go? I've been moving posts that are not relevant to the topic at hand (usually posts about fan promotion moving to the fan promo thread). It seems like a few accidentally disappeared though, not sure what happened there -- apologies if I accidentally deleted something. Just, in general, make sure that if you're talking about something that is NOT mediabase airplay or iTunes sales, it does not belong in those threads. (That's a note to everyone, not just you mtz.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skin Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 Nice jump for a Sunday!!! Isnt sunday the day when most songs stall for a day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 I'm very happy with #29 on Hot 100 Airplay!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 I'm very happy with #29 on Hot 100 Airplay!!! hell yeah... her last TOP40 HOT100 Airplay was what? Die Another Day? eons ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValeRus Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 how do you know at this time of week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 ^It's a building chart. It's not final yet. bks has inside info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOD Posted April 7, 2008 Share Posted April 7, 2008 Im excited that it gained 2M AI. Now if she starts gaining 2M everyday instead of 1M that would be HAWT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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