Guest Bad Robot Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 No prizes beyond pride and satisfaction, but I thought it'd be fun to do a little guessing game on how 4 Minutes performs in the US. We can do it each week if people like it. Each week you should guess on three figures, plus what you think the peak position will ultimately be: -Airplay audience impressions (we'll use Mediabase since BDS figures are sometimes hard to find) -Digital Sales -Hot 100 position -Ultimate Hot 100 Peak Airplay is tracked in this thread: http://forums.madonnanation.com/index.php?showtopic=16971 and the figures used are those found here: http://www.mmr247.com/mmrweb/Reports/Reg/E...7&NumDays=7 I can't recall offhand what the weekly cycle for airplay track is (is it Monday-Sunday or Tuesday-Monday?) but once we have clarity we'll go with that. The first week will not have digital sales, and will be relevant to the charts that are released on March 26. Since airplay and sales stats are sometimes available (or guessable) as they build, you have to have your guesses in by the Friday beforehand. So this first week is due Friday, March 21! And remember there's no digital sales this first week (and it may or may not debut on the Hot 100). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 I'm GAME!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Danny86 Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 Ooooooooh it's like the old Madonna Singles Summaries again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 Fo the Hot 100, it's Wednesday through Tuesday. The Hot 100 is usually compiled Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest harbors Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 i like the idea. its fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flotando Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 Anyone remember how many audience impressions got HU during its first week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullaBarbie Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 Airplay audience impressions = 9 MILLION Digital Sales = 20000 Hot 100 position = BUBBLING UNDER NO. 6 Ultimate Hot 100 Peak = 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Hafo Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 Since I am clueless about what gets played in the US, I'll be randomly POSITIVE: -Airplay audience impressions: 20 M -Digital Sales: n/a -Hot 100 position: 80 -Ultimate Hot 100 Peak: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest flotando Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 -Airplay audience impressions: 10 M -Digital Sales: 150.000 (next week) -First Hot 100 position: not charting -Ultimate Hot 100 Peak: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HolidayGuy Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 We also can do position on, say, Top 40 Mainstream (on Mediabase, CHR/Pop- though there are twodifferent charts- one that covers more stations)- that runs Monday-Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest harbors Posted March 15, 2008 Share Posted March 15, 2008 We also can do position on, say, Top 40 Mainstream (on Mediabase, CHR/Pop- though there are twodifferent charts- one that covers more stations)- that runs Monday-Sunday... I feel so excited now. Airplay audience impressions = 25 MILLION Digital Sales = 200,000 Hot 100 position = BUBBLING UNDER NO. 1 Ultimate Hot 100 Peak = 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nightshade Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 I'm going to be really bold here: Week 1: -Airplay audience impressions: 30 million -Digital Sales: n/a -Hot 100 position: #62 -Ultimate Hot 100 Peak: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eroticromance Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 Week 1: -Airplay audience impressions: 25 million -Digital Sales: n/a -Hot 100 position: #39 -Ultimate Hot 100 Peak: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 harbors, erotic and nightshade, aren't you going to wait until march 20 sometime like that to make predictions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nightshade Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 harbors, erotic and nightshade, aren't you going to wait until march 20 sometime like that to make predictions? Well, no. Me personally, I am just guessing what next week's airplay and Hot 100 debut will look like. I am guessing we'll do digital estimates the following week when it is actually released. I am still hopeful for a #1 track. If this song doesn't do it, I am not sure what will for her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bad Robot Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 Well I'll put out my prediction now, maybe change it come Friday: Audience: 18m Sales: N/A Hot 100: Bubbling Under #8 Ultimate Peak: #5 And it sounds like we'll base it all on stats learned Wednesday mornings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Camacho Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 Audience: 10m Sales: N/A Hot 100: #98 Ultimate Peak: #4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acpl08 Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 Audience: 11m Sales: 165k (peak) Hot 100: 97 Ultimate Peak: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoulFighter Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 Ultimate Hot 100 Peak : 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HolidayGuy Posted March 16, 2008 Share Posted March 16, 2008 10m audience from Monday-Sunday? That would be pretty weak, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted March 18, 2008 Share Posted March 18, 2008 Can the mod please pin this topic just for this week so that it doesn't go down much and be readily seen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brisy_Boy Posted March 19, 2008 Share Posted March 19, 2008 So my turn Audience: 22m Sales: N/A Hot 100: Bubbling Under #01 Ultimate Peak: #01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest SuperPop Posted March 19, 2008 Share Posted March 19, 2008 Audience: 15m Sales: N/A Hot 100: Bubbling Under #1 Ultimate Peak: #3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted March 20, 2008 Share Posted March 20, 2008 SALES (MONDAY to SUNDAY) AIRPLAY (WEDNESDAY to TUESDAY) MY FINAL PREDICTION Audience: 27M (by Mar25 per Mediabase) Sales: N/A Hot 100: #90 Ultimate Peak: #3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HolidayGuy Posted March 20, 2008 Share Posted March 20, 2008 So, for airplay, we're looking at the Wed-Tues. period, used for Hot 100 Airplay? Cause it already had 8m for just 2 days (used for this week's charts). Audience: 18 million Sales: N/A Hot 100: Bubbling Under #4 Ultimate Peak: #6 (who knows) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scrapple Posted March 20, 2008 Share Posted March 20, 2008 Audience: 19-20 million Sales: N/A Hot 100: Bubbling Under #2 Ultimate Peak: # 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bad Robot Posted March 21, 2008 Share Posted March 21, 2008 REMINDER: TODAY IS THE LAST DAY FOR YOUR PREDIX! They must be in by 12:00 am EDT! Feel free to update your predictions before then with a new reply. I'm going to adjust mine slightly: Airplay: 20m Sales: N/A Hot 100: Bubbling Under #3 Ultimate Peak: #5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted March 21, 2008 Share Posted March 21, 2008 REMINDER: TODAY IS THE LAST DAY FOR YOUR PREDIX! They must be in by 12:00 am EDT! oh my... what time is that in the Philippines? That's 12MN NY time right? So it's less than 12 hours to go...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Camacho Posted March 21, 2008 Share Posted March 21, 2008 Airplay: 17 million Sales: N/A Hot 100: #98 Ultimate Peak: #4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Danny86 Posted March 22, 2008 Share Posted March 22, 2008 Airplay: 22m Sales: - Hot 100: #100 Ultimate Peak: #3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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