US Chart Talk: 6/21/08

[Macko]

8 new albums behind and HC only 5 places down

[notsomuch]

Not bad at all, and the ss numbers could actually be higher.

Fingers crossed. I'd like to see her around #12.

[dimfanis]

It seems realistic at this point to believe that HC will outsell AL.

HC will not be her lowest seller.

[Guest nothingfails0603]

the fall isn't too bad for this album. I'd say it's probably her most consistant album as percentage declines since Music. COADF was really big for a few weeks but as soon as the Xmas season was over, it totally collapsed.

wow, the Mariah tactics ($5.99 at Amazon and Circuit City) DID NOT WORK for Weezer

[Cherish]

I doubt Madonna is as "Hung Up" over chart positions/CD sales as some of her fans!

[Ciccone's Cheeks]

wow. good for her and HC!!! once GI2M hits TRL, somehow catches on there and radio (just enough) itll be safe to say with great relief that HC will NOT be her lowest selling US album ever. We just need another few months of some kind of consistent and respectable #s. Will be a close one....

[Guest Danny86]

What a meltdown many of you made when Madonna's second week decline was announced, but I hope everyone takes note that not even Usher is immune to the ~70% drop! How long will it take him to reach 2x Platinum?

[Guest harbors]

7 11 MARIAH CAREY ISLAND/IDJMG 35,546 +2%

E=MC2

10 15 MADONNA WARNER BROS. 29,940 -10%

HARD CANDY

Who's laughing now?

[Alexz]

Both Madge and Mariah are doing respectable numbers. The only advantage Mariah has over Madge is the huge opening.

[Guest Bad Robot]

That is a good hold. It will still be difficult to hit 1 million copies, but it just might do it by the end of the year, particularly if it stabilizes at all with GI2M/single #3.

I think it is safe to say it will outsell AL.

[Guest Bad Robot]

So what's the likelihood of 4M staying in the top ten for another week? Airplay looks like it will close around #13 (just shy of 50M?) and sales seem to be steady-ish with 4M still in the iTunes top ten. Sales at #8-10 and airplay at #13... could we have an 11th week in the top ten?

[thebigham]

I think it's very doubtful. We'll be sure tomorrow when the digital single sales are known.

[Matt]

So what's the likelihood of 4M staying in the top ten for another week? Airplay looks like it will close around #13 (just shy of 50M?) and sales seem to be steady-ish with 4M still in the iTunes top ten. Sales at #8-10 and airplay at #13... could we have an 11th week in the top ten?

I don't see her in the Top 10 this week. Probably #12 or #13. And HC wont sell more than 800k till the end of the year.

[Kyoko]

I wonder if the Amazon.com discount will help her sales next week? $3.99 for the whole album is a freakin' giveaway!

[Skin]

The album is holding up really well. And I might put my foot in my mouth but I say that it WILL pass 1 million by the end of the year.

[Guest Bad Robot]

let's see after this week she'll be around 525-530k.

So let's say she needs 475k.

She'd have to average around 20k a week for the rest of the year to reach that... hmm maybe not achievable, dunno. I think it depends largely on the next singles. We've gotten used to albums performing based on everything but the first single flopping. If singles 2 and possibly 3 do well we may see a different trajectory than we saw with COADF or AL.

[Candylipsgirl]

That is a good hold. It will still be difficult to hit 1 million copies, but it just might do it by the end of the year, particularly if it stabilizes at all with GI2M/single #3.

I think it is safe to say it will outsell AL.

If Gi2me becomes a TOP 10 or Even TOP 20 and sales remain constant-than its very possible for the tour to give an extra boost to sales.

The problem is , even if HC would to sell 800k or so-will WBR re-certity it to Platinum?

Considering their lethargic past, the answer would be NO-and as a result HC will remain GOLD for a very long long time.

And as far as the sales chart is concerned-RIAA certs is where the media/public receive their info-and as a direct result HC will be her ONLY GOLD studio album-her lowest!

[promise to try]

great

[Guest missy bi_tch]

If Gi2me becomes a TOP 10 or Even TOP 20 and sales remain constant-than its very possible for the tour to give an extra boost to sales.

The problem is , even if HC would to sell 800k or so-will WBR re-certity it to Platinum?

Considering their lethargic past, the answer would be NO-and as a result HC will remain GOLD for a very long long time.

And as far as the sales chart is concerned-RIAA certs is where the media/public receive their info-and as a direct result HC will be her ONLY GOLD studio album-her lowest!

I doubt the general public, most of them, would visit RIAA or care about certifications...

It's only hardcore fans and chart freaks...

The average Joe would be less inclined to care.

[markm]

Is the new Coldplay album expected to go to #1 next week? Any ideas on sales numbers? In the UK its heading

for a huge opening.

[thebigham]

bks at Pulse:

BILLBOARD HOT DIGITAL SONGS - TOP 50

1 1 COLDPLAY VIVA LA VIDA 253076 15 219278 767632

3 2 PERRY*KATY I KISSED A GIRL 201699 17 172787 533382

2 3 LIL WAYNE LOLLIPOP 156082 -20 193941 2042731

5 4 RIHANNA TAKE A BOW 117930 -6 125481 850930

8 5 BEDINGFIELD*NATASHA POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE 113368 3 109718 1237354

7 6 LEWIS*LEONA BLEEDING LOVE 105612 -5 111190 2434495

12 7 BROWN*CHRIS FOREVER 102037 36 75098 568483

15 8 METRO STATION SHAKE IT 93566 52 61518 523751

9 9 MADONNA FEAT. JUSTIN TIMBERLAK 4 MINUTES 88499 -11 99163 1720759

4 10 COOK*DAVID TIME OF MY LIFE 79800 -51 163287 479111

11 11 MCCARTNEY*JESSE LEAVIN' 70061 -8 76312 596389

10 12 USHER LOVE IN THIS CLUB 67187 -12 76582 1731820

6 13 LIL WAYNE GOT MONEY 66802 -41 113774 180576

14 14 RAY J FEAT YUNG BERG SEXY CAN I 65951 -4 68416 1507174

44 15 PUSSYCAT DOLLS WHEN I GROW UP 64338 114 30001 94339

13 16 SPARKS*JORDIN NO AIR 63042 -8 68552 1997937

16 17 DANITY KANE DAMAGED 59178 -2 60177 800162

17 18 3 DOORS DOWN IT'S NOT MY TIME 51020 -12 58106 428024

19 19 O'DONIS*COLBY WHAT YOU GOT 50772 6 47869 438139

-- 20 YOUNG JEEZY PUT ON 46146 999 0 46146

22 21 PLIES BUST IT BABY (PART 2) 45126 8 41972 423350

25 22 FLOBOTS HANDLEBARS 43285 10 39271 288644

20 23 DUFFY MERCY 43138 -8 47095 311940

21 24 LIL WAYNE MILLI 42073 0 42275 298198

-- 25 RADIOHEAD CREEP 40191 999 225 45881

18 26 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE LAST NAME 39336 -19 48602 269311

28 27 MAYER*JOHN SAY 39325 4 37682 998784

26 28 CAILLAT*COLBIE REALIZE 39298 2 38512 834006

27 29 DEGRAW*GAVIN IN LOVE WITH A GIRL 38260 0 38086 438126

30 30 MAROON 5 IF I NEVER SEE YOUR FACE AGAIN 36791 0 36793 216311

23 31 ONEREPUBLIC STOP AND STARE 36659 -10 40658 1256220

32 32 ESTELLE AMERICAN BOY 36466 6 34488 264236

46 33 NE-YO CLOSER 35944 22 29426 191107

43 34 THREE 6 MAFIA FEATURING PROJEC LOLLI LOLLI (POP THAT BODY) 35673 15 31066 178144

-- 35 DISTURBED INDESTRUCTIBLE 35647 999 0 35647

45 36 V.I.C. GET SILLY 35429 20 29595 203911

29 37 COLDPLAY VIOLET HILL 35074 -5 36827 180343

31 38 FLO RIDA LOW 33024 -8 35882 3936690

33 39 KARDINAL OFFISHALL DANGEROUS 32981 -1 33346 144712

41 40 MRAZ*JASON I'M YOURS 32850 6 31109 331254

39 41 FLYLEAF ALL AROUND ME 32761 4 31430 579209

-- 42 LIL WAYNE YOU AIN'T GOT NUTHIN 32246 999 0 32246

38 43 CAREY*MARIAH BYE BYE 31206 -2 31722 271733

36 44 RIHANNA DON'T STOP THE MUSIC 30397 -6 32236 1991970

24 45 TIMBALAND FEAT. ONEREPUBLIC APOLOGIZE 29298 -25 39284 3626906

35 46 USHER LOVE IN THIS CLUB, PART II 27998 -14 32471 138603

60 47 WEEZER PORK AND BEANS 27962 40 19908 118948

40 48 CYRUS*MILEY SEE YOU AGAIN 27781 -11 31369 1644547

55 49 NEW KIDS ON THE BLOCK SUMMERTIME 27567 27 21735 111972

53 50 BANNER*DAVID GET LIKE ME 26606 10 24118 132473

A FEW BONUSES:

189 54 ROSSDALE*GAVIN LOVE REMAINS THE SAME 25302 216 7995 83356

-- 55 CYRUS*MILEY 7 THINGS 23918 999 0 23918

143 72 TYGA FEAT. TRAVIS MCCOY COCONUT JUICE 17952 88 9554 59720

104 77 SHWAYZE FEAT. CISCO ADLER BUZZIN' 17470 31 13356 68865

-- 81 ASHANTI WAY THAT I LOVE YOU 17039 133 7321 148030

-- 91 RADIOHEAD HIGH AND DRY 15668 999 27 17274

-- 94 CAST OF CAMP ROCK WE ROCK 14951 999 0 14951

-- 97 JEWEL STRONGER WOMAN 14618 176 5290 115314

-- 104 RADIOHEAD KARMA POLICE 13111 999 32 13572

And here's how Hot 100 Airplay ended up before recurrents were removed:

No. 1 - Lil Wayne (-5.1 million)

No. 2 - Leona (-1.1 million)

No. 7 - Rihanna (+12.1 million)

No. 8 - Danity Kane (+2.4 million)

No. 12 - Keyshia Cole (+9.7 milllion)

No. 13 - Madonna (-4.4 million)

No. 14 - Usher, Beyonce & Lil Wayne (+1.1 million)

No. 16 - Chris Brown (+0.3 million) Take You Down

No. 17 - Mariah (-0.2 million)

No. 19 - Natasha Bedingfield (+5.3 million)

No. 23 - Jesse McCartney (+4.6 million)

No. 30 - Chris Brown (+3.8 million) Forever

No. 32 - Alicia Keys (+1.5 million)

No. 41 - Katy Perry (+8.4 million)

No. 81 - Duffy (+2.4 million)

No. 127 - Coldplay (+6.4 million) Viva La Vida

No. 161 - Coldplay (-0.7 million) Violet Hill

No. 301 - Pussycat Dolls (+1.1 million)

[thebigham]

Is the new Coldplay album expected to go to #1 next week? Any ideas on sales numbers? In the UK its heading

for a huge opening.

Coldplay is not out in the USA yet. Lil Wayne will be #1 next week.

Coldplay is out June 17.

[Guest Bad Robot]

So based on that, I'd guess that all the songs above 4M (except Metro Station) will be higher on the Hot 100.

Then Jordin Sparks will be above 4M, along with probably Usher, Danity Kane, and Ray J. So a likely #12 for 4M?

[magom]

So based on that, I'd guess that all the songs above 4M (except Metro Station) will be higher on the Hot 100.

Then Jordin Sparks will be above 4M, along with probably Usher, Danity Kane, and Ray J. So a likely #12 for 4M?

Next week Madonna will surpass Usher LITC (I am so happy because I hate that Usher song)

[thebigham]

Billboard Chart Alert:

http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/content_dis...333698a59cb4f75

Disturbed #1 253k

[Guest Bad Robot]

HC at #14 on BB.

[thebigham]

Billboard.com:

Disturbed Scores Third Straight No. 1 Album

June 11, 2008

by Katie Hasty, N.Y.

Disturbed claims its third Billboard 200 No. 1 as "Indestructible" bows atop the chart this week. Moving 252,000 units, according to Nielsen SoundScan, the Warner Bros. set follows in the footsteps of the rock act's 2002 album "Believe" (284,000) and 2005's "Ten Thousand Fists" (239,000).

Only six other rock bands have earned three straight No. 1 debuts with studio albums: Van Halen, U2, Metallica, Dave Matthews Band, Staind and System of a Down.

The 28th edition of the "Now That's What I Call Music..." series starts at No. 2 on the chart with 185,000. All 28 of the multi-label compilations have reached the top 10 on the chart, as have many of its spin-offs, including "Now That's What I Call Christmas." "Now That's What I Call Classic Rock," which also debuted this week, bows at No. 20 with 23,000.

After topping the chart last week, Usher's "Here I Stand" (LaFace/Zomba) slips to No. 3 with 145,000, a 67% decrease in sales.

Weezer's third self-titled set starts at No. 3 with 126,000. The Geffen effort's first single "Pork and Beans" has already spent several weeks atop Billboard's Modern Rock chart. Weezer's last album, 2005's "Make Believe," arrived at a career-high No. 2.

Journey's Wal-Mart exclusive set "Revelation" opens at No. 5 with 105,000 copies. It's the band's highest charting album and best sales week since "Trial By Fire" debuted and peaked at No. 3 with 145,000 in 1996. That was the band's last album with lead singer Steve Perry; new frontman Arnel Pineda was discoved by Journey via YouTube.

Ashanti lands at No. 6 with "The Declaration" (Universal Motown), shifting 86,000. Her last studio effort, 2005's "Concrete Rose," started at No. 7 with 254,000 during Christmas week 2004.

The New Line soundtrack to "Sex in the City" tumbles 2-7 with 60,000 (-9%) this week. Jewel's first country set, "Perfectly Clear" (Valory Music Group), moves 48,000 to debut at No. 8. It also bows at the summit of Top Country Albums. Jewel's last Atlantic album, 2006's "Goodbye Alice in Wonderland," also started at No. 8.

3 Doors Down's Universal Republic self-titled set slips 3-9 with 45,000 (-29%). At No. 10, Chris Brown's "Exclusive" (Jive) enjoys a whopping 261% increase to 36,000, thanks to a reissue of the album last week with additional songs.

Other big debuts this week include Opeth's "Watershed" at No. 23 (Roadrunner, 20,000), Radiohead's "Best Of" at No. 26 (Capitol/EMI, 18,000), former Bush frontman Gavin Rossdale's "Wanderlust" at No. 32 (Interscope, 15,000), the compilation "Vans Warped Tour '08" at No. 34 (ADA, 15,000) and Poison singer/ reality TV star Bret Michaels' "Rock My World" at No. 39 (VH1 Classics, 13,000).

Aimee Mann's "@#%&! Smilers" (SuperEgo) arrives at No. 80 with 8,000, while new at No. 83 is the self-titled Sub Pop debut from up-and-coming Seattle rock outfit Fleet Foxes, which sold a couple hundred copies less than the Mann release.

[thebigham]

Pulse:

SOUNDSCAN (WEEK ENDING 6/8/08 )

1) Disturbed - Indestructible - 252,777

2) NowThat’s What I Call Music Vol 28. - 184,955

3) Usher - Here I Stand - 144,551 (After 2 weeks - 588,525)

Other Debuts

4) Weezer - Weezer (Red Album) - 126,074

5) Journey - Revelation - 104,983

6) Ashanti - Declaration - 86,278

8 ) Jewel - Perfectly Clear - 47,662

32) Gavin Rossdale - Wanderlust - 15,364

39) Bret Michaels - Rock My World - 13,382

171) Lil Wayne - 4,000

[Guest Hafo]

3 number one albums and never heard from Disturbed at all

Good for HC, there were a lot of new entries and only slid 3 places! Hope it holds another week at #20!

[Guest Bad Robot]

I'd like to point out to nothingfails0603 that Lil Wayne is predicted to sell 850-950k for the biggest opening week of the year, harshly countering his stance that the Hot 100 doesn't reflect what people want.