Guest Bad Robot Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Here are the rules. By 11:59 PM EDT on Friday (US east coast time), please submit your guesses for this week's chart challenge for airplay impressions, sales, and Hot 100 position for 4 Minutes. Also include your guess for peak position. Last week's positions: Airplay: 32.5m Sales: 217,000 Hot 100: #3 Peak Position: ??? Last week's winner was Hard Caramelo with 99.2% accuracy! You may change your predictions at any time before the deadline. Results are revealed on Wednesdays. Airplay uses the "Quick Cuts" total on Mediabase, as it is the most reliably available figure. Note that for now, Hot 100 position accuracy is determined as being 10% off for every position off from the actual. (So if you guess #5 and it hits #2, you are 70% accurate for that part of the calculation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest madddness Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 (edited) Here are the rules. By 11:59 PM EDT on Friday (US east coast time), please submit your guesses for this week's chart challenge for airplay impressions, sales, and Hot 100 position for 4 Minutes. Also include your guess for peak position. Last week's positions: Airplay: 32.5m Sales: 217,000 Hot 100: #3 Peak Position: ??? Last week's winner was Hard Caramelo with 99.2% accuracy! You may change your predictions at any time before the deadline. Results are revealed on Wednesdays. Airplay uses the "Quick Cuts" total on Mediabase, as it is the most reliably available figure. Note that for now, Hot 100 position accuracy is determined as being 10% off for every position off from the actual. (So if you guess #5 and it hits #2, you are 70% accurate for that part of the calculation). Airplay: 41.3m Sales: 233,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #1 Edited April 2, 2008 by madddness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindi Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Airplay: 36 m Sales: 145 K Hot 100: #4 Peak: #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Camacho Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 (edited) Airplay: 37.5m Sales: 180,000 Hot 100: #3 Peak Position: #2 Edited April 3, 2008 by Hector Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kangarooz Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 Airplay: 38.5m Sales: 200,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiveItToMe Posted April 2, 2008 Share Posted April 2, 2008 (edited) Airplay: 39.5 Sales: 263,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak Position: #1 Edited April 4, 2008 by GiveItToMe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hard Caramelo Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Wow! I´m officially the winner!!! Am I granted any prize? Maybe a Hard Candy copy. I don´t know when it hits shelves in the Dominican Republic. Maybe three months after its release... Anyways, thank you very mucho. My predictions: Airplay: 39.7M Sales: 190,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest harbors Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 43 m (thx to the video) Sales: 195,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nightshade Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 37.9 million Sales: 232,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #1 Hmmm...this is getting harder. It seems to be growing steadily at radio, but digital is hard to predict. Especially since we don't know if the video will have much of an effect on THIS week's sales. I am thinking the full impact of that might be felt in next week's numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest missy bi_tch Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 38m Sales: 230,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ercos Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 45M Sales: 180,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest tir69 Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 38M Sales: 197.000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bad Robot Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 no runner-ups BR? I listed them in the week 2 thread -- perhaps I should add them here? #2 was Nightshade #3 was tir69 Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Candylipsgirl Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Im tending to agree with another UNFORTUNATE #2 U G H! Honestly, BadRobot: WHAT ARE HER CHANCES OF REACHING THE SUMMIT EVENTUALLY? IS IT EVEN CONCEIVABLE or ARE WE JUST FANTASTICING? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 hi candy, finally you showed up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bad Robot Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 I would say #1 is conceivable... but, it'll be tough. Before I was saying 10% chance. Now I'll say 35% chance. My guesses this week: Airplay: 39m Sales: 210,000 Hot 100: 3 Ultimate Peak: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Qbanito21 Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 38m Sales: 250,000 Hot 100: 1 Ultimate Peak: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nightshade Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 I would say #1 is conceivable... but, it'll be tough. Before I was saying 10% chance. Now I'll say 35% chance. It's going to rely heavily on digital sales and if they will grow even larger. Radio support (while very good) just isn't going up fast enough for this song to overcome Mariah and Leona. Since we have determined that the first single's downloads tend to reach their highest level the week the parent album is released, I wonder if we can assume that she'll hit #1 later on this month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4MTSTW Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 41m Sales: 200,000 Hot 100: 1 Ultimate Peak: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scrapple Posted April 3, 2008 Share Posted April 3, 2008 Airplay: 36.9M Sales: 190K Hot 100: # 3 Ultimate Peak #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 40M Sales: 260,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak Position: #1 I guess I should put my TOP 4 predix here as well, so as not to cause too much 1. 4 Minutes (37M + 260k) = 297M 2. Touch My Body (125M + 160k) = 285M 3. Love In This Club (133M + 135k) = 268M 4. Bleeding Love (60M + 200k) = 260M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest iMisto Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 40M Sales: 280,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak Position: #1 I guess I should put my TOP 4 predix here as well, so as not to cause too much 1. 4 Minutes (37M + 280k) = 317M 2. Touch My Body (125M + 180k) = 305M 3. Love In This Club (133M + 135k) = 268M 4. Bleeding Love (60M + 200k) = 260M Do you really think it's possible???? I would be SO happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Do you really think it's possible???? I would be SO happy. it's just a prediction... i will change it tomorrow before the deadline if needed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Danny86 Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 38M Sales: 230,000 Hot 100: #2 Peak Position: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laisla Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 36M Sales: 150,000 Hot 100: #3 Peak Position: #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gus Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay:42M Sales:185,000 Hot 100:#4 Peak:#3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest NiCk Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 38,6M Sales: 281,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak Position: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyoko Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 41M Sales: 220,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak Position: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
impressiveinstinct Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 Airplay: 39.5M Sales: 288,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest iMisto Posted April 4, 2008 Share Posted April 4, 2008 AI: 40M Sales: 283,000 Hot 100: #1 Peak: #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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