horn Posted May 4, 2008 Share Posted May 4, 2008 HITS: Hard Candy Will Bow on Top, Lyfe Jennings, The Roots, Def Leppard and Portishead Also Debut April 30, 2008 Madonna will leave Warner Bros., the only label she’s ever known, with a bang. Her final studio album for the Bunny, Hard Candy, is on track to sell between 275-300k, which will handily end Mariah Carey’s two-week reign with E=MC2, according to one-day sale reports from those retailers still standing around this great country of ours. The Material Gal has one more album, a greatest hits collection, to go before splitting for a long-term deal with concert promoter Live Nation. The album’s her first since 2005’s Confessions on a Dance Floor, which sold more than 8 million worldwide. In the U.S., it debuted at #1, selling 351k copies in its first week, taking the top spot from Carrie Underwood’s Some Hearts. In its second week, Confessions on a Dance Floor sold 210k copies and slipped to #4 with a 39% sales decrease. To date, the album has sold over 1.7 million copies in the U.S. Columbia R&B star Lyfe Jennings’ Lyfe Change, his third album, is on track to sell between 75-80k, which should be good for a Top 5 bow, fueled by the single, “Never Never Land.” His last disc, 2006’s The Phoenix, debuted at #2 and went on to sell 450k. Veteran Def Jam rappers The Roots return with Rising Down, their first since 2006’s Game Theory, with a first-week sales number in the 50-60k range Hair metal mainstays Def Leppard’s Universal album Songs from the Sparkle Lounge is doing better than expected, thanks to the band’s appearance on last night’s Dancing with the Stars, where they performed their new single, “Nine Lives,” which features Tim McGraw. One-day sales estimates peg their total at 45-50k. The band’s U.S. tour with Styx and REO Speedwagon is already underway. Island Records trip-hop pioneers Portishead return with their first studio album in a decade, and third overall, the cleverly dubbed Third, on track for an impressive 40-45k in sales after their critically acclaimed performance at Coachella last weekend. Tom Petty’s Mudcrutch album on Warner Bros. looks set for 25-30k after a string of intimate performances with his one-time Gainesville, FL, bandmates at the Troubadour in L.A., his old stomping grounds. Epic Records' SoCal atmospheric pop-rockers Augustana’s Can’t Love, Can’t Hurt is on target for 20-25k The market was down 8% vs last week, down 11% vs same week last year and now down 11% year-to-date…. as Hollywood continues to burn outside HITS’ Sunset and Vine headquarters.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 4, 2008 Author Share Posted May 4, 2008 http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/news/articl...t_id=1003796943 April 30, 2008, 6:40 PM ET Keith Caulfield, L.A. Madonna is on track to net her seventh No. 1 album on next week's Billboard 200 with "Hard Candy," based on first-day sales measured by the Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart released Wednesday afternoon (April 30). Unweighted sales for the Warner Bros. album from the Building Chart's panel of reporters through the close of business Tuesday, April 29, stood at 100,000. Among all female artists, only Barbra Streisand has earned more No. 1s -- with eight. Currently, Madonna, Mariah Carey and Janet Jackson are all tied for the second most, with six apiece. Late last year, Chris Brown's "Exclusive" posted a first day number of 107,000 and finished the week with 294,000. However, sources close to the Madonna project indicate that with much of "Hard Candy's" first-day figure driven by iTunes sales, its full sales week could end up closer to the range of 225,000-250,000. Madonna's last studio effort, 2005's "Confessions on a Dance Floor," started at No. 1 with 350,000. Billboard estimates the merchants who report to Nielsen SoundScan's Building Chart -- Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Circuit City, iTunes, Starbucks,Borders, Target, Anderson Merchandisers, and Handleman Co. -- comprise about 80% of all U.S. Album sales. Leading the charge for "Hard Candy" is first single "4 Minutes," featuring Justin Timberlake, which peaked at No. 3 on The Billboard Hot 100 and spent two weeks at No. 1 on Hot Digital Songs. The download has sold 1 million copies to date, according to Nielsen SoundScan, including 185,000 for the week that ended April 27. Madonna first rang the Billboard 200's bell when "Like a Virgin" reached No. 1 in late 1984. Since then, she's claimed No. 1s with "True Blue" (1986), "Like a Prayer" (1989), "Music" (2000), "American Life" (2003) and "Confessions." She also owns a whopping five sets that peaked at No. 2 -- "I'm Breathless" (1990), "The Immaculate Collection" (1990), "Erotica" (1992), the soundtrack to "Evita" (1996) and "Ray of Light" (1998). On the Wednesday Building Chart, Lyfe Jennings' new "Lyfe Change" (Columbia) was in second place with 25,000. Other new titles appearing in that preliminary list's top 10 include the Roots' "Rising Down" (Def Jam), Portishead's "Third" (Mercury), Def Leppard's "Songs From the Sparkle Lounge" (Island/UMe), Augustana's "Can't Love, Can't Hurt" (Epic) and Mudcrutch's self-titled album (Reprise). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 4, 2008 Author Share Posted May 4, 2008 HITS: WEAKEND CHARTS: MADONNA WILL ROLL IN BATTLE OF DIVAS Will Top Both Mariah Carey and Leona Lewis, But 25k’ll Get You Into Top 10 May 2, 2008 Hard Candy is sweet indeed. Madonna’s final studio album for Warner Bros. before embarking on her deal with promoter Live Nation will debut at #1 on next week’s HITS Album Sales chart with a total of between 270-290k. She’s easily the topper in a three-way battle of the dueling divas which also includes Mariah Carey’s previously #1 Island/IDJ album E=MC2 at 85-90k and J/Syco Music newcomer Leona Lewis’ Spirit at 80k. Hard Candy is actually one of six newcomers in the Top 10, which would ordinarily be good news. Unfortunately, it takes a little under 30k in sales to get there. Columbia R&B star Lyfe Jennings will bow in the Top 5 with between 70-75k for his third album Lyfe Change, as will The Roots’ Def Jam album, Rising Down, with a first-week number that appears to be between 65-70k. Def Leppard’s Universal album Songs from the Sparkle Lounge is up next with 50-55k, boosted perhaps by their appearance on Dancing with the Stars this week. Island trip-hop pioneers Portishead are back with Third, their first studio album in 10 years, showing surprising strength at 45-50k, good for a Top 10 debut. SBMG/Commercial Music Group’s Now 27 keeps going along at 28-30k, followed by Big Machine/Universal Republic country star Taylor Swift (26-30k). Reprise’s Tom Petty reunion of his early Florida band Mudcrutch rides some critical kudos and a series of intimate performances at the Troubadour to a bow inside the Top 10 at 26-28k, where it will duke it out with Rhino’s Juno soundtrack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 4, 2008 Author Share Posted May 4, 2008 From HDD May 2, 2008 HARD CANDY, LOWBALL: Although Madonna's last album of new material for the Evil Empire will top next week's charts (see related story here), there is much debate as to whether Edgar Bronfman Jr. and Lyor Cohen will throw down sufficiently to optimize its performance in the marketplace. The Terrible Twosome's unwillingness to be aggressive in marketing her previous releases is reportedly one of the primary reasons the Material Girl is leaving the Bunny for the greener pastures of Live Nation. She's going out on a high note, though, as her initial single, '4 Minutes' featuring Justin Timberlake, is shaping up as a massive hit. Nonetheless, projected sales on the album continue to drop, and at presstime it appears that it will debut south of 300k, further evidence of Warner's low-ball mentality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 4, 2008 Author Share Posted May 4, 2008 Billboard.biz: OVER THE COUNTER: M2M - MARIAH HOLDS THE FORT, MADONNA ON DECK May 10, 2008 by GEOFF MAYFIELD You might have motion sickness if you've been watching the No. 1 slot on the Billboard 200 for the last two months, with new albums bowing atop the chart for each of the last eight weeks. Leave it to Mariah Carey to calm down the pace—until next week, when another veteran chart queen will rule the roost. Despite a second-week slide of 61%, the sum that keeps Carey's "E=MC2" at No. 1 is respectable at 182,000 copies. That exceeds the 179,000-unit total that Jack Johnson's "Sleep Through the Static" scored in the second of its three chart-topping weeks. His and Carey's albums are the only 2008 releases to rule the big chart for more than one frame. The eight-week churn that Carey ends marks the longest turnover streak the big chart has seen since last summer, when albums by Linkin Park, Maroon 5, R. Kelly, T-Pain, Toby Keith, Bon Jovi, Miley Cyrus and T.I. played Hot Potato with the chart's top rung. In the seven weeks leading to the entrance of "E=MC2," sets by Janet Jackson, Alan Jackson, Rick Ross, Danity Kane, DAY26, George Strait and Leona Lewis each bowed at No. 1. DIVA JUNCTION: Topping Nielsen SoundScan's April 30 Building chart with 100,000 copies, Madonna is on course to notch her seventh No. 1 album. And, "Hard Candy" will be her fourth to start on the top shelf. That total reflects unweighted first-day sales from nine accounts—Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Circuit City, iTunes, Starbucks, Borders, Target, Anderson Merchandisers and Handleman—that Billboard estimates to account for about 80% of U.S. album sales. So, where will a start like that put her at the end of the week? Since September, when Nielsen SoundScan introduced its Wednesday and Friday Building lists, four other albums clocked first-day sales in that neighborhood, with starts of 107,000 each for Chris Brown's "Exclusive" and Kenny Chesney's "Just Who I Am: Poets & Pirates." On the lower end of that range, Bruce Springsteen's "Magic" started with 89,000 while Danity Kane's "Welcome to the Dollhouse" tracked an opening day of 92,000. Of those four titles, the older-skewing Springsteen and Chesney surpassed 300,000 copies by week's end, the former at 335,000, the latter at 375,000. The younger-appealing Brown and Danity each ended up with sub-300,000 weeks: Brown at 294,000, Danity at 236,000. Before you assume that the 49-year-old Madonna courts an older crowd, bear in mind that she recruited youth magnets Justin Timberlake and Timbaland to craft lead single "4 Minutes." Consequently, a source close to the album says iTunes downloads drove first-day sales for "Hard Candy," which suggests her opening week will settle in the range of 225,000-250,000. That would mark a decline from the start for two of her last three No. 1 albums—350,000 copies for 2005's "Confessions on a Dance Floor" and 420,000 for 2000's "Music"—and more in line with the 241,000 that put "American Life" on top in 2003. Considering that as diverse a list of veteran acts as Radiohead, Alan Jackson and Janet Jackson each led the big chart in 2008 with smaller opening weeks than each had in earlier years, I tend to think a start of 225,000 or more would be fairly handsome. But, just two weeks removed from Mariah Carey's career-best start of 463,000, expect consumer media to play the comparison as a diva smackdown. 'IDOL' WORSHIP: Pundits wondered if composer Andrew Lloyd Webber was an astute booking for "American Idol." But ratings didn't buckle, and some sales ensued. Combined versions of Sarah Brightman's "Think of Me" sell 4,000 digital downloads (up 753%), Michael Crawford's "Music of the Night" tallies 3,500 (up 855%), and Madonna's original take of "You Must Love Me" moves 2,000 downloads (up 836%). On Top Cast Albums at billboard.biz, "The Phantom of the Opera: Highlights" zips 10-5 (up 99%), while that show's Original London Cast Recording gallops 14-7 (up 176%). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skin Posted May 4, 2008 Share Posted May 4, 2008 These predictions are all over the freakin place. Im hoping none of them know what the hell we are talking about and it gets into the 300k range. Anyway, let the madness begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 4, 2008 Author Share Posted May 4, 2008 Summary: 30/04 HDD - 275-300K BB - 225-250K (Based on iTunes sales) 02/05 HDD - 270-290K 10/05 BB - 225-250K (Still stick to 30/04 article) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 4, 2008 Author Share Posted May 4, 2008 HDD is quite accurate (with the exception of E=MC2) with their prediction . Therefore it's safe to say HC 1st week sales will falls between 270-290K. Unless some of you decided to buy both physical regular & special edition + iTunes digital regular & special edition before the week ends, then 300K will not be far. Never too far awayyyyyy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest marsha Posted May 4, 2008 Share Posted May 4, 2008 These predictions are all over the freakin place. Im hoping none of them know what the hell we are talking about and it gets into the 300k range. Anyway, let the madness begin! LOL hope they're the same who wrote 4M pass 1 million mark "as today" on april 28th with 1,004,000 total. I want 300k +. I'm confident (and don't even know why ;-)) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 ONE year ago: CHART DATE: 05/07/2007 -- 1 NE-YO DEF JAM/IDJMG 245,182 -- BECAUSE OF YOU -- 2 MICHAEL BUBLE REPRISE 207,013 -- CALL ME IRRESPONSIBLE 1 3 AVRIL LAVIGNE ARISTA/RMG 85,225 -27% BEST DAMN THING -- 4 RUSH ATLANTIC/ATL G 84,037 -- SNAKES & ARROWS -- 5 MIRANDA LAMBERT SBMG NASHVILLE 53,925 -- CRAZY EX-GIRLFRIEND 5 6 DAUGHTRY RCA/RMG 50,224 +4% DAUGHTRY -- 7 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. 49,248 -- PURE BS -- 8 TORI AMOS EPIC 49,175 -- AMERICAN DOLL POSSE 3 9 NOW 24 EMI 46,028 -14% VARIOUS ARTISTS 8 10 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 43,530 -1% SOME HEARTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtzlplk Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 CHART DATE: 05/07/2007 -- 1 NE-YO DEF JAM/IDJMG 245,182 -- BECAUSE OF YOU -- 2 MICHAEL BUBLE REPRISE 207,013 -- CALL ME IRRESPONSIBLE those two artists are the hot ones of today... and MADONNA is about to open bigger... ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zezwer Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 those two artists are the hot ones of today... and MADONNA is about to open bigger... ok Michael Buble hot one of today??? not really... Ne-Yo is though... but Madonna's name is alot bigger though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Michael Buble has great catalog sales and his album was bulleted last week on the BB200. His last 3 album will sell more than COADF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Here is the link to HITS' building album sales chart: http://www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/salescht.cgi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zezwer Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Michael Buble has great catalog sales and his album was bulleted last week on the BB200. His last 3 album will sell more than COADF. Where will he sell more than COADF?? Or do you mean he would sell more combined or each album?? Because both of his latest albums sold around 4-6 million worlwide... COADF sold like 8-9 million so I don't really get how Michael Buble could do better than Madonna then? I doubt this refers to most markets... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 ^In the USA.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebigham Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Here is the link to HITS' building album sales chart: http://www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/salescht.cgi Remember to only post the Top 10 until the Final chart. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alexz Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Where will he sell more than COADF?? Or do you mean he would sell more combined or each album?? Because both of his latest albums sold around 4-6 million worlwide... COADF sold like 8-9 million so I don't really get how Michael Buble could do better than Madonna then? I doubt this refers to most markets... LMAO. Since this is a US thread, MAYBE THE US? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zezwer Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 LMAO. Since this is a US thread, MAYBE THE US? oops... my mistake i'm starting to mix all these chart threads up... they kinda look the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Qbanito21 Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 LAST UPDATE: 05/05/2008 10:55:02 NOW IN: 28.66% LW TW artist / album label power index -- 1 MADONNA WARNER BROS. 56,604 HARD CANDY 2 2 LEONA LEWIS J RECORDS/RMG 25,672 SPIRIT 1 3 MARIAH CAREY ISLAND/IDJMG 25,662 E=MC2 -- 4 DEF LEPPARD ISLAND/IDJMG 20,696 SONGS FROM THE SPARKLE LOUNGE -- 5 LYFE JENNINGS COLUMBIA 18,596 LYFE CHANGE -- 6 ROOTS DEF JAM/IDJMG 16,055 RISING DOWN 5 7 NOW 27 SBMG/COMMERICAL MUSIC GRP 11,180 VARIOUS ARTISTS 8 8 GEORGE STRAIT MCA NASHVILLE 10,641 TROUBADOUR 10 9 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 9,983 TAYLOR SWIFT -- 10 PORTISHEAD ISLAND/IDJMG 9,241 THIRD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindi Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macko Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Not a little too less??????????230K?????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Hard Candy is flopping hard on HitsDailyDouble building chart!!! Hard Candy has numbers like Discipline... Seriously guys, american fans are the worst fans in the world. Madonna should skip USA in her next tour and adding more dates in Europe!!!!!!!!! American fans should buy more copies of Hard Candy to help Madonna. Only it costs $9,99. In these things lambs demonstrate to be better fans than us. And that is so sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindi Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Help what? Madonna has more money than probably everyone on this board combined. She doesn't need our help. Buying more than one copy of the album just to boost her numbers is the most silly and loony thing to do. I'm sure that money can be better spent on other slightly more important things like food, rent, medical insurance, etc. etc. etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
horn Posted May 5, 2008 Author Share Posted May 5, 2008 oops... my mistake i'm starting to mix all these chart threads up... they kinda look the same The title says "US Chart Talk". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bulgar Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 ohhhh, not looking good.... at all!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macko Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 One Question ...are all pre-orders (Itunes, Amazon) incuded in it?????????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 (edited) Dindi, I say that Madonna fans should buy a copy more. I don't say of buying 10 copies like lambs do. In addition, in my country, I can't eat a decent meal with $9,99 (6,20€) . Edited May 5, 2008 by george harrison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullaBarbie Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Well, Janet did great. Lets see how M does. SPRING = BAD SALES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dindi Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 So it's shaping up like HC may open lower than AL afterall. Oh dear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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