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swimtoshore

Elitists
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Posts posted by swimtoshore

  1. 20 hours ago, Lolo said:

    As someone observing from the outside I’m very confused about how they managed to count like two thirds of the votes in the first 24 hours and now the rest is dragging for so many days??? Why is that? I know it’s Mail, but still...

    If you take Pennsylvannia for example, they received over 2.5 million mail ballots. There is a State law in PA on the books that mail-in ballots cannot start to be processed until election day. The Democratic Governor and election officials in PA tried to have that law changed this year because of the anticipated high number of mail-in ballots due to Covid, but the Republican controlled legislature in PA blocked it. The Republicans did this for a very specific reason. Republican voters were mostly planning to vote in person on or before election day (Trump has been complaining about mail-in ballots all year and encouraged republicans to vote in person), while many Democrats had decided to vote by mail due to covid. Any in-person voting either done early or on election day is tabulated on voting machines and is reported out on election night. The voter verification for each person is done at the voting facility at the time the vote is made and that work is spread out over lots of voting locations. So on election night, all those votes were already tabulated. It was probably around 4-4.5 million votes, and Trump was way ahead (700K ahead in fact).

    The processing of the 2.5 million mail-in ballots did not start in some places in PA until Election day and in other places in the State, the day after. It takes a lot of time to process them because each ballot has to be verified (signature verification, checking against voting registry to ensure a valid voter, and then they have to check that the person did not also vote in person already). Therefore most of the 2.5 million were not counted on election night (they had 2 million left to do Wednesday morning I think) and it has taken them days to get through the volume. I think they still have Provisional votes left - which have to go last because they are votes when people have requested a mail-in ballot but then turn up at the polling location on election day and ask to vote in person. 100K people in PA did that this year because the mail has been so fucked up (thanks DeJoy). If people were worried that their returned ballot wouldn't arrive in time to the electoral office, they might have gone to the voting booth and asked to do a provisional vote. It is counted last, so that if the mail-in ballot has already been received, the provisional vote is discarded. A lot of the remaining 100k votes will end up being discarded probably.

    The red mirage of Trump being the winner on election night was entirely intentional from the Republicans. This was Trump's plan, so that he could subsequently claim fraud and bogus ballots because most of the mail-in votes are 'mysteriously' going to Biden.  There is of course no mystery to it, but when did that ever stop Trump from lying?

    I think PA has been particularly slow as well due to the fact that this is the first major election where mail-in ballots have been such a big part of the voting percentage for them - so it has been a learning experience. States like Colorado, Utah and Oregon are already 100% mail-in ballots but have been for a long time so they have the experience now about how to deal with the volumes efficiently.

    The same issue with not being able to start counting mail-in ballots until election day was also true in Wisconsin and Michigan (again allowing for starting processing earlier was blocked by Republican legislatures in each of those States). The same pattern of big lead for Trump on election night with Biden eventually catching up and winning, happened in both those places. They finished quicker because they had fewer mail-in ballots I think.

    Other states like Florida were basically done on election night despite mail-in ballots, because they can start processing those ballots when they are received. In Florida it was Biden that had the early lead on election night due to mail-in ballots being counted first and then Trump overtook with day-of in person votes.

    Sorry for the super long post. I hope that helps a bit...

  2. 29 minutes ago, Jazzy Jan said:

    Anyone else a bit annoyed at SOME Republican media commentators saying that people have to give Trump space and time to take it in and remind him of how great his presidency was. Plus saying to send him out with applause and roses. Also to get his daughter to explain the situation to him gently etc. 

    Seriously, he is an adult man who does not need to be treated and coddled like a toddler. He is obnoxious, insulting and heartless to others all of the time and deserves no kid gloves.  The way some crawl to him is pathetic. 

    He is a sadistic asshole who treats everyone like shit. Why should he get any consideration now. He can go fuck himself. I really hope Biden brings in a tough (but of course fair) AG and they uncover all the illegal crap that has been going on and prosecute all the criminals, including any of Trump's  family and Trump himself if warranted.  

  3. Biden will get GA, PA and NV. AZ is gonna be close but Biden will probably hold. NC who knows and AK still 50% outstanding that are all mail ballots so that is unknown - Trump probably still wins those two. Biden will likely end up over 300 electoral votes. Trump is toast - it is just a matter of time.....

    Trump will lose too many States to think that the Courts will be able to 'save' him. Notwithstanding the fact that there is ZERO evidence of any fraud actually happening in any of the vote counting anyway.

    Let's just hope after a couple of days of denial he bolts and that will be that.

     

  4. On 10/20/2020 at 2:33 AM, SheldonCooper said:

    Oh!🙈😳

    that’s why top players “reside” in Monte Carlo. 

    But Nadal doesn't reside in Monte Carlo and has never claimed to. He lives in Mallorca. Doesn't he pay Spanish taxes? I thought he was one of the few players who actually hasn't changed his residence to a tax haven to avoid paying taxes in his home country. Do I have it wrong?

  5. On 10/13/2020 at 3:48 PM, SheldonCooper said:

    I’ve met Roger, Rafa and Novak and Rafa as anyone will tell you is the nicest and is a huge SWEETHEART. Winning his 13th(!!!!!!!!! ) French Open is insane! How many more will he win!🙈One of if not THE most impressive stat in all sport! It is the hardest slam to win physically too. 20th slam! He played incredibly in the final! He adapts and improves wow! So much respect for this athlete! ❤️  He’s also won/beaten Roger and Novak in slam finals on their preferred surface the same can’t be said about them  

    This generation of mens tennis is incredible the suspense of seeing who will come out with the most majors is so great!

     

    Oh wow - you've met them all? Lucky you.

    13 French Opens is indeed INSANE. What an incredible achievement!

  6. 13 hours ago, Martin B. said:

    I doubt she cares about that. This woman has no moral sense and no value. This is just the usual excuse politicians use to opt out. She hasn’t give a damn about her family for the past 4 years as the Trump regime's propaganda agent. No, she is afraid of a possible defeat in November and prefers to quit before the public failure and humiliation. The rats leave the boat.

    Maybe it is a bit of both. Claudia Conway does seem to be in some distress based on her tweets last week and over the weekend. Maybe it is all 'performance art' from the three of them so they can later make mint off book sales?

  7. 2 hours ago, Jazzy Jan said:

    True. Why I despise the anti maskers and conspiracy nutters who gloat about not being told what to do. I cop abuse from these idiots at work all the time over the phone yelling about free will and their rights etc. Their selfish crazy behaviour is inexcusable and Is why Melbourne is in the trouble it now is in.  Stay  safe @swimtoshore XX 

    You too @Jazzy Jan ❤️❤️❤️

  8. 13 minutes ago, Jazzy Jan said:

    Melbourne now in stage 4 lockdown. 😪

    its so depressing. We have had this second stage 3 lockdown for 4 weeks and things seem to only be getting worse, not better. I know stage 4 is necessary but six more weeks at least and now with evening curfews and essential travel within 5kms of your house only. ughhh

  9. 9 hours ago, Junior said:

    The Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s tax returns must be turned over to prosecutors in New York, dealing a major blow to the president.

    The historic 7-2 decision forces Mazars USA, a financial accountant long used by Trump and his family business, to comply with a subpoena from Manhattan District Attorney Cy Vance, Jr., requesting eight of the president’s most recent personal and corporate returns as part of a grand jury criminal investigation.

    https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/ny-supreme-court-trump-tax-returns-20200709-ybkyhx3fubadzfsp3tob7ytc5m-story.html

    The Manhattan DA can indict Trump for his financial crimes even if he is sitting President at the time, whether it be before or after the next Presidential election. 

    Now Cy Vance (Manhattan DA) is the same guy that was DA in 2012 when Trump Jr and Ivanka were NOT indicted wrt fraudulent advertising when selling TrumpSoho condos. The Manhattan DA's office had what seemed to be an airtight case against both Trump kids at the time and Cy Vance overruled his team and dropped the investigation citing insufficient evidence of a crime (this happened within months of Trump's lawyer donating the maximum allowable amount to Vance's re-election campaign). Vance subsequently returned the donations (multiple were made before and after his re-election) but it makes me question whether he is really trustworthy when it comes to objectively prosecuting Trump. Maybe things have changed since 2012.......

  10. 3 minutes ago, Bitch I'm Christian said:

    I can't believe that they've essentially imprisoned those people in the apartment towers, infected or not. I believe the only other country to lockdown this way was China, and the rest of the world thought it was a severe thing to do at the time. If that's the way the Premier wants to do things, I just hope that people in wealthy suburbs get police wardens and house arrests when cases appear there too.

    It is crazy - it seems they are testing everyone in the towers hopefully by end of tomorrow and then putting the towers on same restrictions as everyone else with those testing positive moved somewhere else.

  11. 40 minutes ago, Jazzy Jan said:

    I think so many thought this was over but it is now worse. Hope Melbourne can get this under control. Sad too that we are shut off from the rest of Australia but can understand why as don’t want virus to spread more. Also hope that every state government and all Australians support each other through this. 

    Yes, let's hope Victoria isn't treated as a pariah

  12. Melbourne is going back to Stage 3 lock down for 6 weeks starting tomorrow following significant increases in cases over the last 2 weeks (highest ever # of daily new cases)

    We can only leave our houses for groceries, medical reasons, work and school.

    It is necessary but UGGHHH

  13. On 6/6/2020 at 2:37 PM, Junior said:

    https://www.idolator.com/7911237/lost-hit-madonna-malumas-bitch-im-loca

    Lost Hit: Madonna & Maluma’s “Bitch I’m Loca”

    Mike Wass @mikewassmusic | June 5, 2020 4:15 pm

    “Bitch I’m Loca” isn’t the best song on Madonna’s Madame X. I’m not even sure if it’s a particularly good song in general, but — with the exception of the Swae Lee-assisted “Crave” — it’s the closest thing on the album to a commercial bop. Would it have made a difference? Probably not. Radio has turned its back on the Queen of Pop, the general public can’t deal with an outspoken woman (of any age) and The Gays have moved on to second-rate imitations. At the very least, however, it would have clocked up a lot streams and charted in Spanish-speaking markets thanks to Maluma. 

    Yes, “Bitch I’m Loca” is Madonna’s other collaboration with the Latin heartthrob. While “Medellín” is sprawling and grandiose, their second offering is radio-ready reggaeton with the kind of lusty lyrics that would have assured a scandalous video. Maluma does most of the heavy-lifting, beginning the song with an amusing verse about meeting the 61-year-old sex symbol at the club. He is enamored by her style, but learns that she’s something of a scarlet women, who cheated on her ex-boyfriend. Not that Madonna gives a fuck. 

    “Forget about the future and we have no past, I like the way you move and you know you’re just my type,” she purrs in the song’s only English-language verse. “I guess you like a crazy girl, but it’s alright.” That takes us to the sing-along chorus. “Bitch, I’m loca,” Madonna admits. “Y yo loco, loco,” Maluma replies. Then, one thing leads to another. As much as I love weird and wonderful anthems like “Dark Ballet,” “God Control” and “I Don’t Search I Find,” there’s something refreshing about Madonna just letting her hair down and having some fun. Revisit “Bitch I’m Loca” below.

     

    I do love BIL - i always fancy a saucy minx M song - and the SHADE in this revisit....

    Over the months, Faz Gostoso has moved up to one of my top 3 favorites from MX along with Medellin and Looking for Mercy. BIL isn't top 3 but makes for a nice trifecta of heavily latin influenced songs. Still not a huge fan of Batuka though - tour performance not withstanding

     

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