Paul
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Posts posted by Paul
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3 hours ago, whyme? said:
I think the Democratic party and it's leaders also need to do a bit of soul searching. Stop saying "we need the black vote, the Latino vote, the female vote". You actually need the white centrist vote to win!!! They voted in droves for Obama and Bill Clinton. And perhaps Biden (sort of). The Democratic party needs to be a moderate, centrist party. They are perceived in America as this lefty, woke party that caters to minorities. Guess what, you won't win that way!
Trump should've been beaten by 10 points on the polls, not 'neck in neck'. Ughhhh
Except Harris would have won if she got the black vote and latino vote. Compared to the results in 2020, Harris lost black men votes to Trump in Philadelphia, and lost Latinos votes across the whole country (men and women). A LOT of latino voters shifted to trump, even the Puerto Ricans in PA. White votes didn't change from 2020.
The failure was, as it always is, the economic message. Despite the US economy being strong and objectively better than 4 year ago, two-thirds of people think its worse and that America is on the wrong track. You can't win elections when people think that about an incumbent administration. The voters that shifted to Trump (the minorities) believe their lives will better under Trump than Harris. (The sad irony is that they will almost certainly be worse off with Trump.)
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32 minutes ago, Michael. said:
But the average voter isn’t smart enough
Bingo.
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Oh America, what have you done.
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https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/2024-election-trump-harris#cm34ydg1700163b6mgtjvuoxo
Harris aides are expecting and planning for Trump to claim victory before a winner is projected
Vice President Kamala Harris’ aides expect and have been preparing for the possibility that Donald Trump will attempt to declare victory prematurely.
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The Philadelphia Police Department told CNN they were not aware of what Trump was referring to in a Truth Social post claiming “massive cheating” and did not know of any issues with voting that required a law enforcement response.
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i feel so nervous.
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7 minutes ago, Lolo said:
It is truly so annoying! Every morning I watch the news and they have no problem showing Trump at his rallies and all of his supporters, but since it’s quality journalism they never show his fucked up moments, but we know there are so many! Last week, when Biden was still campaigning, they had a picture of him in the Tagesschau (most watched German news broadcast) where his skin looked like it has large yellow spots. Wtf?? It’s sloppy at best. They have been so uncomfortable and highly critical with Joe Biden and all of his missteps because it gave Trump such an advantage. And now they’re suddenly trying to be all 50/50 and balanced. Laughable. Trump is a felon after all. I’m truly disappointed.
I can only watch tagesschau in einfacher sprache (because my german is terrible) and they are even worse at treating Trump like an ordinary candidate, while they routinely point out that Biden is so old and forgets words and names.
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1 hour ago, Raider of the lost Ark said:
Dare I say, that Obama endorsement telephone call was kinda cringe? Also, and I don't know what it is, something rubs me the wrong way with the Obamas in recent years. The vibes they give are weird.
Apparently Obama didnt want Kamala as the candidate, but then Joe endorsed her, forcing the Obamas into a corner. So it was all through gritted teeth.
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On 7/10/2024 at 11:17 AM, Camacho said:
Oh dear. If that's you last hope, definitely time to go, Joe.
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Biden was terrible in the debate, but being good in a debate and being good at being president are completely different things. I hope people can see the difference. Maybe not. I have more confidence in Biden being a responsible president than Kamala.
2 hours ago, Raider of the lost Ark said:This was a desaster on so many levels. Trump was telling so many lies, as someone on CNN said he basically broke the fact machine. Or he simply did not answer at all. The problem, at this point he can say whatever he wants, his cult members will vote for him anyway.
And Biden? The optics are just horrible. If Democrats wanted to lay the rumors he is too old, even senile, to rest, this backfired badly. I'm afraid, they need an exit strategy. Now. Otherwise we may have a RGB situation which created the situation at the US Supreme Court. Except it will be worse if Trump wins. The stakes are simply too high. It is safe to say, that the Democrats will win in a heart beat if they come up with a younger, more energetic candidate. Let's face it, all the Republicans have been talking about in months is Joe Bidens age. If this issue is out of the way, what do they have left. I'd say, hire a marketing agency and frame the exit as an honorable move, blame it on the Republicans for being ageist, make ageism the new racism. Make his exit an election ad.
So the question is: Who will be the candidate? I'd say Pete Buttigieg. He comes across as very likeable. Intellectually he will wipe the floor with anyone. Will red states have a problem with him being gay? Sure. But as long as there is the electoral college, who cares about those red states. It's about the swing states and I doubt those have an issue with his sexuality.
Or Gretchen Whitmer? She is from Michigan, a swing state. I don't know how she is view at in the other states in the North, but this alone could do the trick.
Any other ideas?
Id love pete to take over. He should have been the candidate 4 years ago. But if Joe steps down, it will be kamala.
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This is so depressing. It baffles me how anyone can think trump is sane, let alone competent to run a country.
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So alarming (even though not that surprising, sadly)
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16 minutes ago, karbatal said:
Oh dear
It reminds me of GW Bush's "you're either with us or you're against us". And look how that turned out. US is not interested in peace, only maintaining power.
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22 hours ago, Jazzy Jan said:
Mary Donaldson from Tasmania Australia is now the Queen of Denmark.
Australia has a great interest in the Danish royal family.
4 hours ago, Msig said:Not quite yet
Queen Margrethe won't abdicate until 14 January, during a Council of State starting at 14:00 CET.
At 15:00, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen will then proclaim the new King of Denmark from the balcony of Christianborg Palace.
I wish there were more ceremony involved, I would have popped over to support our girl becoming Queen.
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1 hour ago, Jazzy Jan said:
The Ashton By election result is yet another nail in the coffin for Dutton and the Liberal party. Labor got home easily in a so called shock result as normally a safe conservative seat but Australians are proving that voters are turning away in droves from the far right that have taken over the Liberal Party. So proud to be Australian at this time and also proves that Murdoch's shocking bias in the media does not cut through anymore.
More good news! Although its weird that all the good elections are happening after I left Australia. But at least I know it will be better when I come back.
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Its truly shocking and so sad to watch all the devastation and people that have lost everything, including loved ones. It makes me feel so helpless.
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AHAHAHAH Australia is an ethnic country????
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2 hours ago, Bitch I'm Christian said:
@Jazzy Jan My favourite part is how Peta Credlin and the Sky News bullshit artists all learn the same "lesson" from these defeats: that the conservatives, after being rejected for parties to the left of them on the political spectrum, need to go further to the right
13 hours ago, Jazzy Jan said:
So proud of the state of Victoria who completely ignored one of the most vicious, nastiest and biased media campaigns ever by the Murdoch press and overwhelmingly re- elected Labor. Murdoch's paper and sky news were relentless in their attacks on Dan Andrews and the Labor Party. Australia now has completely rejected the conservative party in virtually every state. NSW has their election in the new year and it suggests Labor will romp home there as well. @San @swimtoshore @Creepy Insane Person @Bitch I'm Christian @Leebf @cardiganstarlet @Michael. @xtaticboy82and @Paul- I bet you are all happy. Murdoch is getting rubbished everywhere on line and his influence in Australia is truly over. @Kim I know too how much you detest Murdoch and this was such a great result. Australia has become such a progressive country.
Great news! I was back in Melbourne last week, made sure I voted! Its astonishing how the media was sooooooooo one-sided, and now having to make up excuses for being so out of touch with the people. Why cant they just accept that voters just dont want that rubbish.
It was actually nice to be living outside Australia and not having to listen to Australian (politics) news all the time, but when I got back to Australia, the biggest news headline was all about some car accident from years ago, than Dan was not in. The media went to any length they could to try and pull him down. Luckily the people of Victoria are (mostly) smarter than that.
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7 minutes ago, Lolo said:
I mostly think the coffin is empty. It’s so weird to drag a real body around town.
i think so. Not to mention that it would start to smell from being in the sun for hours each day.
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30 minutes ago, Lolo said:
Im pretty sure the Monarchy will end one way or another within the next 20 years tops.
But while it’s still there I just want to say I quite enjoy sitting on my couch, watching the spectacle while being aware I’m witnessing something that’s so very obsolete and probably happening for the last time ever. It feels very historic and surreal. Thank you citizens of the UK for financing this.
Agreed. Has everything in the UK just stopped? Nobody is working or going to school? nothing else to do but watch the coffin and people marching day after day....
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3 hours ago, Lolo said:
To the outside (German) observer it seems like the Monarchy is fairly popular in England itself, but very unpopular in the rest of the Kingdom and the Commonwealth. I don’t get why they don’t call it a day and just give up all the non British countries to be just Monarchs of Britain and that’s it? Or would the British people resent the idea?
Australia had a referendum to become a republic over 20 years ago. While the majority wanted to become a republic, our Prime Minister at the time (a deep monarchist) asked the referendum question in a way that divided opinion about how a new president would be chosen, so the referendum failed. It was bare politics, that's the only reason. it then only felt that asking the question again (properly) would be somehow personally offensive to dear old Lizzie, so I think most Australians understood that once the queen died, we would move pretty quick to become a republic. I hope it happens soon. Although I think it will be inevitable - I Charles will gradually become less and less popular, and within 5 years he will hand over to William in an attempt to rescue public support but it will be too late.
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11 minutes ago, promise to try said:
she was a cow?
hahaha. she was a taurus, like cher. they were also the same age.
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15 hours ago, swimtoshore said:
RIP Queen Elizabeth II
Maybe Australia can move on from the Monarchy now.
King Charles - no thanks
We all loved and will miss the Queen .. but move over Rover
2024 U.S. Presidential Election
in Politics and World Events
Posted
I don’t think Harris did badly at all. With Biden they would have lost by a lot more. Most people wanted change and saw Harris as a continuation of Biden, so she started a long way behind. She actually did really well to hold as many votes as she did, it just wasn’t enough.