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Nightshade

Elitists
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Posts posted by Nightshade

  1. On 5/26/2022 at 2:54 PM, Junior said:

    The Senate is basically Republican controlled with fake Democrat Manchin. They refuse to vote in favor of nearly every single thing from him and Democrats. They’re worse than they were during the Obama years.

    I think it is a little more nuanced. Manchin is from West Virginia and the only way a red state like that would elect a Democrat is if they were kind of Republican too. He voted for the recent Supreme Court justice which at least keeps a liberal in that seat. If we had a true Republican in the Senate (in Manchin's place), nothing would get passed and yet another conservative would be on the court which is already a pathetic 6-3 in favor of the right wing.

    I feel like if liberals really want to win, they better start moving to red states and voting for the blue team. The blue states are doing the best they can with our current political structure.

  2. 20 hours ago, Paul said:

    It puzzles me how a country that likes to tell all other countries what to do in relation to human rights, womens rights, etc thinks it OK to keep living in the dark ages where women cant decide about their own bodies and kids cant go to school without fear of being shot.

    You say that as if we are a single, unified mind. We've been struggling with those topics ourselves of late. But I guarantee you blue America is quite progressive on human rights and women's rights. Unfortunately, the way power is distributed in this country, the red (rural and religious) parts are able to unbalance the system, stymie progress, and even win all branches of government from time to time.

  3. On 5/3/2022 at 6:12 AM, Jazzy Jan said:

    I am surprised more American members are not in this thread.   This is truly taking the USA back decades in the worst possible way if this happens.  The way these judges can change and dictate rights of American people so easily is terrifying.   Women's rights are being eroded completely all in the name of religion if this is overturned.  I hope more people now wake up to what ultra conservative religious people in power can and will do.  If this does not wake people up, then nothing will. 

    I can't speak for every American in this forum, but I do think there is a feeling that we're all in a burning car heading for a cliff and no one knows what to do. That is certainly how I feel. I felt confident that after 4 years of the terrible "experiment" that was Trump, that he would be swept out in a landslide. Not so. He actually gained votes - and a lot. I think we are all at a loss of how to save our country. Maybe we will separate into two separate countries? All I know is that this path cannot be sustained. It's not going to end well for America.

  4. The sad thing is America seems to vote with more of a "throw the bums out" mentality as a knee-jerk reaction not really considering the ramifications of going back to the horrible alternative. I guess we like learning the hard way. If the GOP wins in 2022 (midterms) and again in 2024, I think we may see a genuine attempt to establish a permanent, authoritarian regime under the guise of a faux democracy. The pendulum keeps swinging that way harder and harder. 😟

  5. 5 hours ago, karbatal said:

    And what do they think after none of their theories happen? 

    It's quite astounding but most just move on to the next "prophecy." I am sure some of the QAnon followers get frustrated when these things don't come true (i.e. Trump being reinstated as President in August), but on the whole, they just move like mindless husks to the next proclamation. It's unnerving to think that 56% of Republicans believe QAnon is partially or completely true. That's not an insignificant number.

    Not to sound like an alarmist, but something like Nazi Germany could definitely happen in the U.S. if this continues abated. I actually have people in my own family now who believe the Democratic party is controlled by Satan and that they should prepare for war. It's like something out of the Twilight Zone.

  6. 2 hours ago, LSD said:

     

    This is the legacy of FOX News and right wing talk radio. For two generations now, they have been poisoning the minds of about 40-45% of the population. And it works. Unfortunately, for those brainwashed by the "Democrats are the enemy" message, all their victories are Pyrrhic.

  7. 12 minutes ago, dollhouse said:

    Im worried about Arizona and Nevada where Trump is gaining

    If they go to Trump, Biden is cooked..

    I am not as worried about Nevada. I think most of what is left is mail-in and someone from the Nevada Democratic Party said that has heavily favored Biden thus far. If he wins Pennsylvania (also likely right now), he doesn't need Arizona. And some are saying Georgia isn't over yet either. 

    I guess we will see. Fox News (of all places) seemed pretty confident about Arizona for Biden. They actually do have a good analytics team.

  8. 3 hours ago, elijah said:

    But it’s better to have a normal person ruling rather then trump fanning the flames of racial hatred and division. Biden would work with fbr to fight the neo nazis rather than stay away cause there are good ppl on their sides.

    Oh totally. Don't get me wrong, the fact that Biden will be President (99% sure anyway), at least most of us can sleep at night. AND I am hopeful he will elevate promising Democrats into his cabinet and advisor positions (Buttigieg, Abrams, Castro, etc.). I am more excited about the doors he will open to the talent of the future.

  9. The odds are very good that Biden cleans the table with the remaining outstanding vote (aside from North Carolina and possibly Georgia - although the trend lines look good).

    I am happy with that victory but it has come at a terrible cost, and the fact that Trump got millions of more votes over 2016 just shows you that 60 million American are completely ok with the last 4 years. This is no longer a minority party in the sense that close to half the voting public would probably support an authoritarian regime even if it was the Fourth Reich.

    This isn't going away. These people are furious and violent (not all 60 million, mind you), but enough of them to cause chaos in the future. America has a very long way to go, and it's like to result in a further weakening of the Union.

  10. 1 hour ago, JR! said:

    That's awesome.

    Yeah, the feeling of anxiety in the U.S. is palpable. There is a part of me that is thinking (optimistically), "This is not 2016, and it will be different this time." And then the other half thinks, "This is it. Prepare for the biggest stink bomb 2020 has to offer...re-election of Orange Mussolini." 

    Keep us in your thoughts, my international brothers and sisters. 🥺

  11. 1 hour ago, Martin B. said:

    I hope with all my heart that Biden wins, but unfortunately, like in 2016, the media totally overestimates the polls. People lie to pollsters and the samples are no longer representative of the actual population. The same polling problems have been observed in many elections for the last 4 years all over Occident. I hope with all my heart that I'm wrong and be able to open the bottle of champagne I bought to mark the day this POS loses.

    Many pollsters modified their modeling after 2016 to account for some of that, however, you are right that the polls are only as good as the honesty of those being polled (and many may support Trump but aren't willing to say it). Some of the good news I am talking about is the increased voter turnout. In some swing states, Democrats are returning mail-in ballots at a much higher rate. Of course, that advantage can easily be wiped out by GOP voters on Election Day, but we'll see. In places like TX and GA (traditionally Republican states), turnout is much higher than 2016 and generally speaking, higher turnout has traditionally benefited Democrats. But again, I know it's not a done deal.

  12. Not to make anyone feel complacent, but the data does seem to show a convincing Biden win. I think people are just scarred by 2016, and we obviously have a lot of chicanery going on with the Trump campaign already (lawsuits to deny ballots, slowing the Postal Service, etc.).

    No matter who wins, there is going to be a firestorm.

  13. I am not so sure Trump getting COVID-19 helps his re-election. I mean, we'll see what polls say (not that I trust them as much since 2016), but based on what people know about the precautions you should take and the fact that Trump has flouted them - and his entire inner circle is now exposed - I don't think it's going to play well. His base is a lost cause, but independents won't feel sorry for him.

  14. There is next to nothing that can be done to save the Court at this point. Barring the defection of 4 GOP senators (unlikely), or Biden packing the court (also unlikely unless Democrats win the Senate). The Court is lost for at least 10 years. Conservatives will have a 6-3 majority. More money allowed, more voter restrictions allowed, fewer reproductive rights, and possibly fewer LGBTQ rights as well (although Roberts and Gorsuch did surprise us in recent years).

  15. ^ That a good one. Biden is the most moderate of Democrats and Wall Street shouldn't fear him. Obama was more liberal (yet still moderate by our country's standards). Biden is not going to usher in socialism. Now, if he picked Warren as his VP and something happened to him, that might be a different story. I think it's going to be Kamala as VP unless they uncover something in her past when she was the Attorney General of California.

  16. 15 minutes ago, Jaz said:

    I don't believe that Trump can turn this around.  He mishandled the Covid19, he mishandled the Black Lives Matter... what else will he mess up before the election?  I think he's unelectable at this point.

    I am in denial because of 2016. I can see if there is a rapid V-shaped economic recovery and a vaccine found for COVID-19, his numbers could recover enough to win by a slim margin. Not likely, but a possibility. Also, with so many people on the left calling for de-funding police departments, there could be a backlash against Democrats in the swing states.

    Although, if you look at the numbers right now, he and the GOP are going to lose in a 2008-style wave. But we're still 5 months away and lord knows NO ONE has a memory anymore for past events beyond 10 seconds.

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