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U.S. Chart Talk - 07/05/08


Guest Hafo

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Guest Bad Robot

Yay for Katy Perry! It'll be #1 on the Hot 100 for sure (BB's article is referencing last week's Hot 100).

Interesting how it used to be that lead singles saw a climb the week of an album release, and now they tend to see a steep fall. Wonder why that shifted?

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June 25, 2008

Coldplay’s Strong Sales Buck Industry Trend

By BEN SISARIO

Near the beginning of Coldplay’s free concert at Madison Square Garden on Monday night to promote its new album, “Viva la Vida or Death and All His Friends,” Chris Martin, the lead singer, joked with the crowd: “I understand there have been some complaints about the ticket price.” The roar of 11,500 fans suggested they were quite happy.

The band and its label, Capitol, also had plenty to be happy about. “Viva la Vida” sold 316,000 copies in the United States on June 17, its first day of release, and is expected to reach No. 1 this week with sales in excess of 700,000, industry executives say. (Final figures will be released by Nielsen SoundScan on Wednesday.)

Despite the steep drop in overall album sales in recent years and tumult within Capitol’s parent company, EMI, the opening-week numbers for “Viva la Vida” are roughly equivalent to those of Coldplay’s last album, “X&Y,” which sold 737,000 copies in its first week three years ago and went on to sell three million. Apple, the dominant online seller, said “Viva la Vida” had the best advance and first-week sales of any album in the five-year history of iTunes.

The success of “Viva la Vida” comes a week after Lil Wayne’s “Tha Carter III” (Cash Money/Universal) became the first album in three years to sell more than a million copies in a week. But with album sales down 11 percent from this time last year (and 2007 sales down 15 percent from 2006), people in the industry greeted the news of Coldplay’s success with caution.

“The music industry has held up better this year than we had feared,” said Richard Greenfield, who is a media analyst at Pali Research. “We’ve seen a moderation in CD sales declines instead of an acceleration.”

The success of “Viva la Vida” affirms Coldplay’s stature as a superstar act and underlines the importance of nontraditional marketing. In late April the band made its song “Violet Hill” available as a free download for a week, and the show at Madison Square Garden, which drew a capacity crowd, followed free concerts in London and Barcelona last week. The band was also featured in a prominent television commercial for iTunes.

“You have to try and be more creative these days to get people’s attention,” said Dave Holmes, Coldplay’s manager. “You can’t rely as much on the traditional methods.”

Radio has also played a big role in the album’s success. In an aggressive but unusual strategy, the band sent two singles to stations in advance of its release, and this week the title song is No. 1 on the Billboard singles chart.

The more novel aspects of Coldplay’s campaign attracted attention from the news media and helped build broad excitement that contributed to radio demand, said Kevin Weatherly, the program director of KROQ-FM in Los Angeles, on which “Viva la Vida” has been the most-played song since it was put into rotation at the end of May.

“This is one of those pop-culture events that we want to be all over,” he said. “We need big rock bands that can deliver, and we want to do everything we can on our end to support that.”

About a third of the sales for “Vida la Vida” were for digital downloads. Lil Wayne’s album, on the other hand, sold about 10 percent digitally, which made it a blockbuster at brick-and-mortar stores, said Ish Cuebas, the vice president for music at Trans World Entertainment, which operates more than 800 stores, including FYE and Coconuts. “That drove a lot of traffic into retail,” he said.

Analysts and industry executives say that the sales spike these last few weeks has been badly needed, but that two albums alone cannot offset broader losses, and that no clear blockbuster is likely in the near future.

“Unit sales do not equal profitability,” Mr. Greenfield said. “The weakness in the industry has moderated a bit, and it appears that the strength of the release schedule is the primary driver of that. How sustainable that is for the remainder of the year remains a big question mark.”

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bks at Pulse:

BILLBOARD HOT 100 - TOP 50

2 1 KATY PERRY I KISSED A GIRL

3 2 LIL WAYNE LOLLIPOP

4 3 LEWIS*LEONA BLEEDING LOVE - SINGLE

5 4 RIHANNA TAKE A BOW

6 5 NATASHA BEDINGFIELD POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE

1 6 COLDPLAY VIVA LA VIDA

8 7 CHRIS BROWN FOREVER

11 8 PLIES BUST IT BABY PT. 2

18 9 THE PUSSYCAT DOLLS WHEN I GROW UP

70 10 MILEY CYRUS 7 THINGS

-- 11 DEMI LOVATO & JOE J THIS IS ME

7 12 JORDIN SPARKS DUET NO AIR

10 13 METRO STATION SHAKE IT

9 14 USHER LOVE IN THIS CLUB

13 15 JESSE MCCARTNEY LEAVIN'

12 16 RAY J FEAT. YUNG BERG SEXY CAN I

14 17 DANITY KANE DAMAGED REMIX

-- 18 RIHANNA DISTURBIA

16 19 COLBY O'DONIS FEATU WHAT YOU GOT

-- 20 JONAS BROTHERS PLAY MY MUSIC

26 21 LIL WAYNE A MILLI

15 22 MADONNA 4 MINUTES

17 23 3 DOORS DOWN IT'S NOT MY TIME

29 24 KARDINAL OFFISHALL DANGEROUS

21 25 THE-DREAM I LUV YOUR GIRL

31 26 THREE 6 MAFIA FEATU LOLLI LOLLI (POP THAT BODY)

20 27 COLBIE CAILLAT REALIZE

25 28 NE-YO CLOSER

36 29 V.I.C. GET SILLY

-- 30 JOE JONAS GOTTA FIND YOU

19 31 SARA BAREILLES LOVE SONG

37 32 BANNER*DAVID VGET LIKE ME

-- 33 CAMP ROCK WE ROCK (FAN PACK)

33 34 GAVIN DEGRAW IN LOVE WITH A GIRL

22 35 CARRIE UNDERWOOD LAST NAME

28 36 FLO RIDA LOW/JEALOUS

35 37 ESTELLE AMERICAN BOY

-- 38 FLO RIDA FEATURING IN THE AYER

34 39 KEYSHIA COLE HEAVEN SENT

38 40 DUFFY MERCY

32 41 ONEREPUBLIC STOP AND STARE

24 42 JOHN MAYER SAY

42 43 NEW KIDS ON THE BLO SUMMERTIME

30 44 CAREY*MARIAH TOUCH MY BODY

40 45 FLYLEAF ALL AROUND ME

46 46 KENNY CHESNEY BETTER AS A MEMORY

27 47 USHER FEATURING BEY LOVE IN THIS CLUB PART II

43 48 CHRIS BROWN TAKE YOU DOWN

23 49 MARIAH CAREY BYE BYE

39 50 TIMBALAND/ONEREPUBLIC APOLOGIZE - SINGLE

INTERESTING MOVES & DEBUTS

41 51 DAVID COOK THE TIME OF MY LIFE

58 52 LIL WAYNE FEATURING GOT MONEY

52 53 BLAKE SHELTON HOME

49 54 FLOBOTS HANDLEBARS

53 55 MAROON 5 FEATURING IF I NEVER SEE YOUR FACE AGAIN

54 61 KEYS*ALICIA TEENAGE LOVE AFFAIR

57 68 COLDPLAY VIOLET HILL

75 69 USHER MOVING MOUNTAINS

re 86 SHWAYZE FEATURING C BUZZIN'

-- 88 KATY PERRY HOT N COLD

-- 91 SUGARLAND ALL I WANT TO DO

-- 92 THE TING TINGS SHUT UP AND LET ME GO

-- 93 KEITH URBAN YOU LOOK GOOD IN MY SHIRT

-- 94 COLDPLAY LOST!

-- 99 JOSH GRACIN WE WEREN'T CRAZY

BUBBLING UNDER

-- 1 DEMI LOVATO WHO WILL I BE?

21 7 JORDIN SPARKS ONE STEP AT A TIME

11 8 REHAB SITTIN' AT A BAR (BARTENDER SO

19 12 KID ROCK ALL SUMMER LONG

-- 16 THE VERONICAS UNTOUCHED

-- 23 SEPTEMBER CRY FOR YOU

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wow. whats w. the delay on the SS album #s, while the HOt 100 singles are known. odd.

The chart is leaked by someone in the music industry.

Labels pay thousands of dollars for this chart so we are very lucky that it does leak.

Do not expect it each week. It usually leaks on Thursdays. The past couple of weeks it has leaked on Wednesday.

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Mariah's 2 songs plummet down the chart: LMAO :lmao::lmao::lmao:

I guess I shouldn't laugh too much, the bitch's album is doing better than HC.

Only in the US. Cant leave out that bit of info. :lol:

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Mariah's 2 songs plummet down the chart: LMAO :lmao::lmao::lmao:

I guess I shouldn't laugh too much, the bitch's album is doing better than HC.

Yes. But you said it yourself, you shouldn't be laughing. Madonna would be lucky to get a #1 single these days or even a Top 20 second single. *And* also, Mariah is actually selling albums.

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Yes. But you said it yourself, you shouldn't be laughing. Madonna would be lucky to get a #1 single these days or even a Top 20 second single. *And* also, Mariah is actually selling albums.

If Madonna had waited 1.5 month to release her song on i-tunes the no1 would have been a piece of cake for her... She just waited ONE week after the radio release

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If Madonna had waited 1.5 month to release her song on i-tunes the no1 would have been a piece of cake for her... She just waited ONE week after the radio release

If she just held back the itunes release by just one week I am pretty sure her song would have went to #1. *fart*

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If she just held back the itunes release by just one week I am pretty sure her song would have went to #1. *fart*

The song would have opened even with 280.000-300.000 downloads and it would have been no1.. Imagine if she had waited 1.5 month like Mariah! :queenbitch: It' so unfair.

Mariah now can hit no1 only with her lead singles. And by waiting many weeks to release it on i-tunes. It's not 2005 now when the hot100 was airplay driven

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Guest jamesshot
Yes. But you said it yourself, you shouldn't be laughing. Madonna would be lucky to get a #1 single these days or even a Top 20 second single. *And* also, Mariah is actually selling albums.

Yeah, funny how that #1 song is being way outsold on I-Tunes by 4M. That kinda tells you which song was really more popular. If not for radio support 3 times as much as Madonna and her contest to download it the most( snicker) would her song have been liked enough to still get 200,000+ downloads? I think not. And worldwide, you know every other place besides the US, Mariah is doing very pathetic. Though to be fair Madonna is underperforming WW. But Madonna's underperforming WW would be Mariah's wet dream.

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Mariah's 2 songs plummet down the chart: LMAO :lmao::lmao::lmao:

I guess I shouldn't laugh too much, the bitch's album is doing better than HC.

So, what's Bye Bye's peak on the Hot 100?

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BREAKAWAY TOP 4

FLO RIDA LOW 31123 -2 31895 3999708

8 14 LEWIS*LEONA BLEEDING LOVE 75705 -21 95626 2606233

7 8 LIL WAYNE LOLLIPOP 108768 9 100238 2253137

12 20 SPARKS*JORDIN/CHRIS BROWN NO AIR 56584 -14 65584 2121229

INTERCHANGEABLE WITH M (5-7)

44 49 RIHANNA DON'T STOP THE MUSIC 27282 -5 28757 2048009

10 17 MADONNA FEAT. JUSTIN TIMBERLAK 4 MINUTES 66589 -18 81064 1868412

16 30 USHER LOVE IN THIS CLUB 45208 -17 54794 1831822

MAY NEVER CATCH 4 MINUTES

47 50 CYRUS*MILEY SEE YOU AGAIN 27121 1 26961 1698629

13 23 RAY J FEAT YUNG BERG SEXY CAN I 50351 -14 58827 1616603

5 11 BEDINGFIELD*NATASHA POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE 99208 -9 109472 1446034

1 3 COLDPLAY VIVA LA VIDA 131042 -47 245504 1144178

NEXT HUGE PRETENDER

2 1 PERRY*KATY I KISSED A GIRL 235096 7 219239 987717

I really like the odds of M being the yearend TOP 10 for 2008 in the DIGITAL DOWNLOADS front...

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2008 WEEK 25 YTD ALBUMS

Pos - Sales 000's - TITLE - Artist

01 - 1316 - THA CARTER III - Lil' Wayne

02 - 1233 - SLEEP THROUGH THE STATIC - Jack Johnson

03 - 1046 - E=MC² - Mariah Carey

04 - 977 - AS I AM - Alicia Keys

05 - 836 - TAYLOR SWIFT - Taylor Swift

06 - 801 - SPIRIT - Leona Lewis

07 - 781 - JUNO - Soundtrack

08 - 755 - NOW 27 - Various

09 - 754 - HERE I STAND - Usher

10 - 722 - VIVA LA VIDA OR DEATH AND HIS FRIENDS - Coldplay

11 - 675 - GROWING PAINS - Mary J Blige

12 - 643 - ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS - Soundtrack

13 - 600 - THRILLER - Michael Jackson

14 - 591 - HANNAH MONTANA 2/MEET MILEY CYRUS - Soundtrack/Miley Cyrus

15 - 589 - TRILLA - Rick Ross

16 - 586 - LITTLE VOICE - Sara Bareilles

17 - 576 - EXCLUSIVE - Chris Brown

18 - 561 - BACK TO BLACK - Amy Winehouse

19 - 559 - HARD CANDY - Madonna

20 - 549 - IN RAINBOWS - Radiohead

21 - 548 - COCO - Colbie Caillat

22 - 507 - DAUGHTRY - Daughtry

23 - 506 - WELCOME TO THE DOLLHOUSE - Danity Kane

24 - 503 - JUST LIKE YOU - Keyshia Cole

25 - 496 - CARNIVAL RIDE - Carrie Underwood

26 - 494 - JONAS BROTHERS - Jonas Brothers

27 - 483 - ULTIMATE HITS - Garth Brooks

28 - 427 - TROUBADOUR - George Strait

29 - 421 - GOOD TIME - Alan Jackson

30 - 419 - NOW 26 - Various

31 - 418 - JORDIN SPARKS - Jordin Sparks

32 - 416 - ENJOY THE RIDE - Sugarland

33 - 415 - INDESTRUCTIBLE - Disturbed

34 - 406 - DREAMING OUT LOUD - OneRepublic

35 - 405 - LONG ROAD OUT OF EDEN - Eagles

36 - 400 - DISCIPLINE - Janet Jackson

37 - 398 - NOW 28 - Various

38 - 380 - THE DUTCHESS - Fergie

39 - 375 - STILL FEELS GOOD - Rascal Flatts

40 - 366 - RAISING SAND - Robert Plant & Alison Krauss

41 - 361 - ROCK N ROLL JESUS - Kid Rock

42 - 355 - MINUTES TO MIDNIGHT - Linkin Park

43 - 354 - GOOD GIRL GONE BAD - Rihanna

44 - 348 - ONCE - Soundtrack

45 - 344 - EGO TRIPPIN' - Snoop Dogg

46 - 336 - DETOURS - Sheryl Crow

47 - 333 - I CAN ONLY IMAGINE - Various

48 - 331 - CALL ME IRRESPONSIBLE - Michael Buble

49 - 330 - 3 DOORS DOWN - 3 Doors Down

50 - 327 - HANNAH MONTANA/MILEY CYRUS:BEST OF BOTH WORLDS CONCERT - Miley Cyrus

51 - 326 - ALL THE RIGHT REASONS - Nickelback

52 - 325 - DAY26 - Day26

53 - 317 - JUST WHO I AM:POETS AND PIRATES - Kenny Chesney

54 - 317 - LOVE/HATE - The-Dream

55 - 317 - RIOT - Paramore

56 - 314 - NEW AMERYKAH PART ONE (4TH WORLD WAR) - Erykah Badu

57 - 313 - HOME BEFORE DARK - Neil Diamond

58 - 313 - THE COOL - Lupe Fiasco

59 - 301 - PRETTY ODD - Panic At The Disco

60 - 301 - POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE - Natasha Bedingfield

61 - 296 - IT WON'T BEEN SOON BEFORE LONG - Maroon 5

62 - 295 - NARROW STAIRS - Death Cab For Cutie

63 - 294 - 15 - Buckcherry

64 - 289 - ACCELERATE - REM

65 - 283 - DEFINITION OF REAL - Plies

66 - 279 - ACROSS THE UNIVERSE:DELUXE EDITION - Soundtrack

67 - 276 - SOME HEARTS - Carrie Underwood

68 - 275 - 35 BIGGEST HITS - Toby Keith

69 - 272 - THE MAKINGS OF A MAN - Jaheim

70 - 272 - 2008 GRAMMY NOMINEES - Various

71 - 271 - LEGEND - Bob Marley & the Wailers

72 - 269 - AMERICAN MAN:GREATEST HITS VOLUME II - Trace Adkins

73 - 268 - MAIL ON SUNDAY - Flo Rida

74 - 267 - MOTHERSHIP - Led Zeppelin

75 - 261 - NOTHING BUT THE BEST - Frank Sinatra

76 - 261 - SOULJABOYTELLEM.COM - Soulja Boy Tell'em

77 - 260 - HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 2 - Soundtrack

78 - 259 - SATURDAY NIGHTS AND SUNDAY MORNINGS - Counting Crows

79 - 258 - GREATEST HITS - Guns N'Roses

80 - 254 - STEP UP 2:THE STREETS - Soundtrack

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From my friend Ed:

Full trajectories below. "Give It 2 Me" re-enters the Pop 100 after a five week absence.

Madonna - "Hard Candy" [Gold]

The Billboard 200 - 1*-3-8-9-11-14-31-36

Billboard Comprehensive Albums - 1*-3-8-9-11-14-32-36

Top Digital Albums -1-2-6-11-13-20-23-off

Top Internet Albums - 1-4-7-5-7-15-12-23

Tastemakers - 2*-2-9-12 (off 6/13/07)

Top Canadian Albums - 1*-1-2-2-2-5-7-15

European Top 100 Albums - 1-1-1-1-1-2-2-2-4

Madonna - "The Immaculate Collection" [Diamond]

Top Pop Catalog - 15*-35-39 (off 6/7/07)

Madonna feat. Justin Timberlake and Timbaland - "4 Minutes" [Platinum]

The Billboard Hot 100 - 68*-3*-3*-7-6*-4*-6-7-7-8-10-10-15-22

Hot 100 Airplay - 51*-41*-30*-27*-16*-13*-11*-13*-12*-12*-12-13-31

Hot Singles Sales - 1*-2-1-4-4-5*-8-6

Hot Digital Tracks - 2*-1-2-1*-3-4-5-5-8-8-9-9-16

Hot Digital Songs - 2*-1*-2-1*-2-2-5-5-8-9-9-10-17

Pop 100 - 32*-3*-2*-3*-3*-3*-3-5-6-7-6-11-15-17

Pop 100 Airplay - 22*-15*-12*-11*-10*-9*-7*-6*-6*-6*-7-8-13-17

Hot Dance Club Play - 54-32*-12*-5*-1*-1*-2-5-8-12-21-32

Hot Dance Airplay - 5*-5-4*-4-4*-3*-2*-2-2*-1*-2-4-4-16

Hot Dance Singles Sales - 1*-2-1-1-2-2*-3-2

Hot Adult Top 40 Tracks - 39*-35*-35*-29*-26*-24*-22*-23*-21*-20*-20-21-22

Rhythmic Top 40 - 39*-31*-28*-28*-30*-31*-30-33-34 (off 6/20/08)

Latin Pop Airplay - 39*-off-32*-29*-27*-28-33 (off 6/27/08)

Hot Videoclip Tracks - 10-10-5-1-5-6-5 (off 6/20/08)

Canadian Hot 100 - 27*-1*-1*-1-1-1-1-2-1*-1-1-3-4-5

Hot Canadian Digital Singles - 1*-1-1-1-1-1-2-2-2-3-5-6-9

Japan Hot 100 - 6-16-47-63 (off 6/20/08)

Madonna - "Give It 2 Me"

The Billboard Hot 100 - 57*-off-off-off-off-off-off-off

Hot Digital Tracks - 28*-74-off-off-off-off-off

Pop 100 - 41*-84-off-off-off-off-off-95* (re-entry)

Hot Dance Airplay - 11*-7*

Canadian Hot 100 - 8*-13-67-off-off-off-88*-78*

Hot Canadian Digital Singles - 4*-22-39-67-off-off-off-off

Madonna - "Miles Away"

Japan Hot 100 - 36-7-11-12-18-14-27

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