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US Chart Talk: 5/03/08 Charts


thebigham

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HITS:

WEAKEND SALES FORECAST: It’s all about Island/IDJ’s Mariah Carey this week, as she notches her best-ever first week for L.A., Steve B. and company with a total that looks headed for around 500k, give or take, good enough for #1 by a wide margin over last week’s chart-topping debut by J/Syco’s Leona Lewis, who should do between 95-100k. Disney’s Hannah Montana Best of Both Worlds is next with 40-45k, the same projected total as Warner Bros. Nashville act Lady Antebellum’s bow.

SBMG/ Commercial Music Group’s Now 27 and MCA Nashville’s George Strait follow at around 40k, trailed by Razor & Tie’s Alvin and the Chipmunks soundtrack (32k) and Big Machine/Universal Republic CMT winner Taylor Swift (28-30k), with WB’s R.E.M., Island/IDJ’s Rick Ross and WB Nashville’s James Otto all battling it out for the Top 10 at about 26-28k apiece. (4/18p)

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ONE year ago:

CHART DATE: 04/23/2007

NOW IN: FINAL

-- 1 AVRIL LAVIGNE ARISTA/RMG 288,897 --

BEST DAMN THING

-- 2 NINE INCH NAILS NOTHING/INTERSCOPE 187,157 --

YEAR ZERO

1 3 NOW 24 EMI 70,164 -19%

VARIOUS ARTISTS

-- 4 BUCKY COVINGTON LYRIC STREET 61,686 --

BUCKY COVINGTON

8 5 MARTINA MCBRIDE SBMG NASHVILLE 56,006 +28%

WAKING UP LAUGHING

6 6 DAUGHTRY RCA/RMG 52,898 +3%

DAUGHTRY

2 7 TIM MCGRAW CURB 52,699 -15%

LET IT GO

3 8 AKON SRC/UNIVERSAL MOTOWN 51,697 -13%

KONVICTED

13 9 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 45,394 +30%

SOME HEARTS

4 10 TIMBALAND INTERSCOPE 40,246 -27%

SHOCK VALUE

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NOW IN: 30.57%

-- 1 MARIAH CAREY ISLAND/IDJMG 174,300

E=MC2

1 2 LEONA LEWIS J RECORDS/RMG 34,568

SPIRIT

27 3 HANNAH MONTANA WALT DISNEY RECORDS 18,743

BEST OF BOTH WORLDS CONCERT

-- 4 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE 15,792

LADY ANTEBELLUM

12 5 JACK JOHNSON BRUSHFIRE/UNIV REPUBLIC 11,489

SLEEP THROUGH THE STATIC

9 6 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJMG 11,470

TRILLA

4 7 NOW 27 SBMG/COMMERICAL MUSIC GRP 11,439

VARIOUS ARTISTS

-- 8 THRICE VAGRANT 10,296

ALCHEMY INDEX, VOLS. III & IV

10 9 DANITY KANE BAD BOY/ATLANTIC 10,003

WELCOME TO THE DOLLHOUSE

3 10 GEORGE STRAIT MCA NASHVILLE 9,709

TROUBADOUR

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NOW IN: 30.57%

-- 1 MARIAH CAREY ISLAND/IDJMG 174,300

E=MC2

If based on basic ratio, E=MC2 could be 570,166 :shock:

Ok, I know it doesn't work that way... just pure speculation so dun shoot me.

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Guest iMisto

The only possible way M can top that(prob. CAN't), is if she has big cardboard figures of herself in all places selling her album!!

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NOW IN: 45.86%

-- 1 MARIAH CAREY ISLAND/IDJMG 232,726

E=MC2

1 2 LEONA LEWIS J RECORDS/RMG 48,805

SPIRIT

27 3 HANNAH MONTANA WALT DISNEY RECORDS 26,934

BEST OF BOTH WORLDS CONCERT

-- 4 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE 25,276

LADY ANTEBELLUM

3 5 GEORGE STRAIT MCA NASHVILLE 24,779

TROUBADOUR

4 6 NOW 27 SBMG/COMMERICAL MUSIC GRP 23,410

VARIOUS ARTISTS

7 7 ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS RAZOR & TIE 16,772

SOUNDTRACK

2 8 JAMES OTTO WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 15,618

SUNSET MAN

14 9 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 15,041

TAYLOR SWIFT

10 10 DANITY KANE BAD BOY/ATLANTIC 13,656

WELCOME TO THE DOLLHOUSE

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I know it will be hard but at this point after listening to the album and also looking to 4 Minutes recepcion by the audience, I don't said it is impossible .....

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Im still holding out hope for Madonna to top this shit. So THERE. :lol:

Bitch just needs to hit up some high profile shows! Lets your promo scheduel be known already woman!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Guest jamesshot

After doing AI and Oprah in one week( 2 AI shows) she should do better than 500k. Honestly. I think that is low for doing that kind of publicity.

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Guest jamesshot
500k is an amazing achievement for any artist, in this era of dwindling record sales.

Under normal circumstances, yes. She is coming off her huge "comeback" CD plus appearances on hugely popular Oprah and 2 eppys of AI( with about 25 million viewers though I understand her shows were lower rated). Still, huge numbers of viewers. She should be able to do 650-700k with all that. I think she is on the decline again. Touch My discolored bunghole only made it to #1 due to a fan contest of downloads.

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Guest Bad Robot
500k is an amazing achievement for any artist, in this era of dwindling record sales.

Agreed. I believe this would also be Mariah's highest opening week, yes?

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Guest jamesshot
Like Mariah or not, that's huge (I think it's unnecessary to add I don't like her, that's why I won't)

I am not disputing its huge. Just under these circumstances, I would have thought better.

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Guest jamesshot

Last time I felt it. I felt she was gonna be huge. This time? I feel like her last CD was her one comeback. Her shit sounds the same and I agree with others that say Leona will fill the void of someone who is better and newer. This new album will open big, as we all agree, but I don't think she will sustain it. I don't know anyone really, that likes her to much. I hear more and more comments that her songs sound the same. Her passing Elvis has been a blessing in disguise because all the diehard music fans( and critics) who have ignored her are starting to sharpen their claws at her expense.

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