Jump to content

US Chart Talk: 11/10/07


thebigham

Recommended Posts

HITS:

YOUR WEAKEND TOP 10 PREVIEW: Next week’s album chart will be less depressing than this week’s—at least until you get past #1. That honor will belong to the debuting Carrie Underwood (RCA), whose second album is poised to hit 475-490k. The bad news is that the Idol diva looks like she’ll be the only act in six figures.

That’s not to say the 80-85k we’re projecting for the terrific, T Bone-Burnett produced album from Robert Plant & Alison Krauss (Rounder) isn’t impressive on its own terms. The next three spots should also be held by debuts, with Gary Allan (MCA Nashville) strumming his way toward 70-75k, SOAD’s Serj Tankian (WB) targeting 65-70k and the critically acclaimed Coheed & Cambria (Columbia) rocking toward 60-65k.

The second five should comprise the usual suspects: Rascal Flatts (Lyric Street), High School Musical 2 (Disney), Josh Groban (Reprise) and Kid Rock (Atlantic) all trending 55-60k, with Bruce Springsteen (Columbia) and the debuting Seether (Wind-up) right behind them at 50-55k. That said, we’ll be shocked if the numbers don’t change over the weekend. (10/26a)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

CHART DATE: 10/29/2007

LAST UPDATE: 10/29/2007 10:48:09

NOW IN: 28.42%

LW TW artist / album label power index

-- 1 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 177,970

CARNIVAL RIDE

-- 2 GARY ALLAN MCA NASHVILLE 30,013

LIVING HARD

-- 3 SERJ TANKIAN SERJICAL STRIKE 24,219

ELECT THE DEAD

1 4 KID ROCK ATLANTIC/ATL G 24,035

ROCK N ROLL JESUS

3 5 RASCAL FLATTS LYRIC STREET 22,291

STILL FEELS GOOD

-- 6 SEETHER WIND-UP 21,976

FINDING BEAUTY IN NEGATIVE...

-- 7 COHEED AND CAMBRIA COLUMBIA 20,824

NO WORLD FOR TOMORROW

7 8 HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 2 WALT DISNEY RECORDS 20,078

SOUNDTRACK

-- 9 ALISON KRAUSS & ROBERT PLANT ROUNDER 19,447

RAISING SAND

6 10 REBA MCENTIRE MCA NASHVILLE 17,019

DUETS

Link to comment
Share on other sites

HITS:

Arista Nashville’s Carrie Underwood is in line to debut at #1 this week on the HITS’ Album Sales chart, with Carnival Ride looking at somewhere in the vicinity of 525-530k after a very active weekend. Stay tuned to HITS’ Building chart here through today and tomorrow to astound all your friends around the water cooler with your knowledge.

Also expected to debut in the Top 5: Rounder’s T Bone Burnett-produced Robert Plant and Alison Krauss duet album, MCA Nashville hard-living Gary Allan, Reprise’s System of a Down frontman Serj Tankian making his solo debut and Columbia prog-art-rockers Coheed & Cambria.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

what are the predictions for Brit next week??

My gut feeling is shell obviously hit #1 (pending on NO new competition) as Carrie should slip to below 250k, and Brit has enough of a crazed fanbase to give her at least 300k. Even with brutally negative publicity,VMAs etc.. she still put out a "decent" 1st single and from what I read generally positive reviews, but again its her fanbase which surely should give her #1. Anything standing in her way I don't know??????

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NOW IN: 46.95%

LW TW artist / album label power index

-- 1 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 333,539

CARNIVAL RIDE

-- 2 GARY ALLAN MCA NASHVILLE 46,530

LIVING HARD

-- 3 ALISON KRAUSS & ROBERT PLANT ROUNDER 44,637

RAISING SAND

-- 4 SERJ TANKIAN SERJICAL STRIKE 36,574

ELECT THE DEAD

1 5 KID ROCK ATLANTIC/ATL G 36,110

ROCK N ROLL JESUS

5 6 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 35,225

NOEL

3 7 RASCAL FLATTS LYRIC STREET 32,914

STILL FEELS GOOD

7 8 HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 2 WALT DISNEY RECORDS 30,911

SOUNDTRACK

-- 9 SEETHER WIND-UP 28,329

FINDING BEAUTY IN NEGATIVE...

-- 10 COHEED AND CAMBRIA COLUMBIA 26,400

NO WORLD FOR TOMORROW

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NOW IN: 70.60%

-- 1 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 477,593

CARNIVAL RIDE

-- 2 ALISON KRAUSS & ROBERT PLANT ROUNDER 71,361

RAISING SAND

-- 3 GARY ALLAN MCA NASHVILLE 62,581

LIVING HARD

-- 4 SERJ TANKIAN SERJICAL STRIKE 52,993

ELECT THE DEAD

3 5 RASCAL FLATTS LYRIC STREET 49,146

STILL FEELS GOOD

5 6 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 47,759

NOEL

-- 7 COHEED AND CAMBRIA COLUMBIA 47,564

NO WORLD FOR TOMORROW

1 8 KID ROCK ATLANTIC/ATL G 47,199

ROCK N ROLL JESUS

7 9 HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 2 WALT DISNEY RECORDS 43,338

SOUNDTRACK

-- 10 SEETHER WIND-UP 39,937

FINDING BEAUTY IN NEGATIVE...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

"Decent" first single? Showly you jest, MM. :) She's had a few decent ones, some other listenable ones, but there just ain't much in the way of musical intrigue with this Louisiana hot mess. Furthermore, it didn't even match the H100 Airplay peak of "Hung Up." Yowch.

No doubt it will debut on top, but doesn't look like an album that will be hanging around the upper region of the albums chart for that long.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest nothingfails0603

"Decent" first single? Showly you jest, MM. :) She's had a few decent ones, some other listenable ones, but there just ain't much in the way of musical intrigue with this Louisiana hot mess. Furthermore, it didn't even match the H100 Airplay peak of "Hung Up." Yowch.

No doubt it will debut on top, but doesn't look like an album that will be hanging around the upper region of the albums chart for that long.

yea, I think it'll debut very well because of her fanbase and people buying out of curiousity, but I think it'll have the shortest shelf life of any of her albums. I know she's got all the troubles going on right now, but she could try to go on Oprah, Letterman, Ellen, whoever, and plug the album, but she's not. The album will come and go really quickly unless she tries to put some sort of promotion into it. Being in the news doesn't automatically sell albums, as we saw with Paris Hilton.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

HITS: NOW IN: FINAL

LW TW artist / album label power index % change

-- 1 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ARISTA/RMG 537,246 --

CARNIVAL RIDE

-- 2 ALISON KRAUSS & ROBERT PLANT ROUNDER 101,126 --

RAISING SAND

-- 3 GARY ALLAN MCA NASHVILLE 70,332 --

LIVING HARD

5 4 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 67,861 +8%

NOEL

-- 5 SERJ TANKIAN SERJICAL STRIKE 63,480 --

ELECT THE DEAD

1 6 KID ROCK ATLANTIC/ATL G 62,382 -16%

ROCK N ROLL JESUS

-- 7 COHEED AND CAMBRIA COLUMBIA 60,171 --

NO WORLD FOR TOMORROW

3 8 RASCAL FLATTS LYRIC STREET 56,575 -19%

STILL FEELS GOOD

7 9 HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 2 WALT DISNEY RECORDS 55,622 -2%

SOUNDTRACK

2 10 BRUCE SPRINGSTEEN COLUMBIA 51,168 -30%

MAGIC

-- 11 SEETHER WIND-UP 49,273 --

FINDING BEAUTY IN NEGATIVE...

-- 12 JUANES UNIVERSAL MUSIC LATINO 49,108 --

LA VIDA ES UN RATICO

6 13 REBA MCENTIRE MCA NASHVILLE 43,598 -26%

DUETS

10 14 COLBIE CAILLAT UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 43,542 -12%

COCO

9 15 KANYE WEST ROC-A-FELLA/IDJMG 43,481 -18%

GRADUATION

19 16 HANNAH MONTANA 2 - MEET MILEY WALT DISNEY RECORDS 36,758 +15%

SOUNDTRACK

-- 17 NEIL YOUNG REPRISE 36,279 --

CHROME DREAMS II

15 18 SOULJA BOY TELL'EM INTERSCOPE 34,838 -16%

SOULJABOYTELLEM.COM

14 19 ACROSS THE UNIVERSE INTERSCOPE 34,738 -17%

SOUNDTRACK

12 20 KEYSHIA COLE GEFFEN 32,276 -29%

JUST LIKE YOU

13 21 MATCHBOX TWENTY ATLANTIC/ATL G 30,503 -32%

EXILE ON MAINSTREAM

18 22 NICKELBACK ROADRUNNER 29,745 -10%

ALL THE RIGHT REASONS

16 23 JILL SCOTT HIDDEN BEACH 28,965 -24%

REAL THING: WORDS & SOUNDS, V3

8 24 SANTANA ARISTA/RMG 26,164 -53%

ULTIMATE SANTANA

-- 25 SAY ANYTHING J RECORDS/RMG 25,228 --

IN DEFENSE OF THE GENRE

30 26 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 25,140 +12%

TAYLOR SWIFT

33 27 SUGARLAND ISLAND/MERCURY NASHVILLE 24,910 +19%

ENJOY THE RIDE

28 28 TIMBALAND INTERSCOPE 24,899 -3%

TIMBALAND PRESENTS SHOCK VALUE

-- 29 HURRICANE CHRIS J RECORDS/RMG 24,119 --

5150 RATCHET

26 30 FERGIE A&M/INTERSCOPE 24,068 -9%

THE DUTCHESS

23 31 50 CENT AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 23,914 -18%

CURTIS

25 32 KENNY CHESNEY BNA/SBMG NASHVILLE 22,836 -15%

JUST WHO I AM: POETS & PIRATES

22 33 FOO FIGHTERS RCA/RMG 21,746 -26%

ECHOES SILENCE PATIENCE & GRACE

27 34 ERIC CLAPTON REPRISE 21,666 -16%

COMPLETE CLAPTON

17 35 J. HOLIDAY CAPITOL 21,078 -43%

BACK OF MY LAC

21 36 LEANN RIMES CURB 20,973 -30%

FAMILY

20 37 SARA EVANS RCA NASHVILLE 20,123 -34%

GREATEST HITS

-- 38 RYAN ADAMS & THE CARDINALS LOST HIGHWAY/IDJ 19,123 --

FOLLOW THE LIGHTS

34 39 DAUGHTRY RCA/RMG 18,799 -8%

DAUGHTRY

35 40 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 18,638 -8%

MINUTES TO MIDNIGHT

4 41 JIMMY EAT WORLD INTERSCOPE 17,835 -73%

CHASE THIS LIGHT

29 42 ANNIE LENNOX RCA/RMG 17,516 -32%

SONGS OF MASS DESTRUCTION

45 43 JONAS BROTHERS HOLLYWOOD 17,311 +5%

JONAS BROTHERS

31 44 JOHN FOGERTY FANTASY 16,918 -24%

REVIVAL

-- 45 MANNHEIM STEAMROLLER AMERICAN GRAMAPHONE 16,811 --

CHRISTMAS SONG

36 46 CASTING CROWNS REUNION 15,762 -21%

ALTAR & THE DOOR

-- 47 DWIGHT YOAKAM NEW WEST RECORDS 15,620 --

DWIGHT SINGS BUCK

-- 48 PARAMORE FUELED BY RAMEN 15,577 --

RIOT!

39 49 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 15,354 -14%

IT WON'T BE SOON BEFORE LONG

37 50 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJMG 14,970 -18%

GOOD GIRL GONE BAD

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest nothingfails0603

poor poor flopping J. Lo.... a much hyped Dancing With The Stars performance couldn't even bump sales, this album is as doomed as American Life (the album that couldn't be boosted by a much talked about VMA performance or Oprah).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was expecting Juanes to go Top 10, like Mana and Luis Miguel or *gasp* RBD :confused:

Did J.Lo's Spanish album had bigger first-week sales than Juanes? That'd be a travesty!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

bks at Pulse:

BILLBOARD HOT DIGITAL SONGS - TOP 50

1 1 BROWN*CHRIS KISS KISS 187182 18 158874 346056

3 2 TIMBALAND FEAT. ONEREPUBLIC APOLOGIZE 167338 18 141389 1008944

2 3 SOULJA BOY TELL'EM CRANK THAT (SOULJA BOY) 137375 -7 147249 1925313

4 4 CAILLAT*COLBIE BUBBLY 101587 -22 129436 1007448

7 5 KEYS*ALICIA NO ONE 85713 7 80307 455119

5 6 WEST*KANYE STRONGER 82075 -16 97427 1797474

6 7 BABY BASH FEATURING T-PAIN CYCLONE 77015 -9 84827 631003

10 8 MATCHBOX TWENTY HOW FAR WE'VE COME 64616 -5 68106 622743

8 9 SPEARS*BRITNEY GIMME MORE 61108 -19 75735 588454

9 10 RIHANNA HATE THAT I LOVE YOU 60011 -17 71945 349123

12 11 WEST*KANYE FEAT. T-PAIN GOOD LIFE 47600 -4 49387 403922

26 12 FERGIE CLUMSY 42025 51 27760 166372

14 13 TIMBALAND FT. KERI HILSON & JO WAY I ARE 39451 -10 43860 1599117

16 14 FINGER ELEVEN PARALYZER 38971 -3 40143 546865

11 15 NICKELBACK ROCKSTAR 38847 -22 50007 1533289

13 16 50 CENT FT. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE AYO TECHNOLOGY 38269 -14 44591 721451

67 17 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE SO SMALL 36218 155 14182 260491

15 18 FERGIE BIG GIRLS DON'T CRY 33007 -20 41138 2201924

22 19 SPARKS*JORDIN TATTOO 32735 5 31141 160711

24 20 GOOD CHARLOTTE I DON'T WANNA BE IN LOVE (DANC 32245 9 29678 283533

23 21 SANTANA FEATURING CHAD KROEGER INTO THE NIGHT 32144 4 30954 103072

20 22 DJ KHALED;T-PAIN;TRICK DADDY I'M SO HOOD 31790 -2 32342 175339

18 23 LOPEZ*JENNIFER DO IT WELL 30765 -10 34148 211115

19 24 MAROON 5 WAKE UP CALL 29949 -10 33434 436060

21 25 DAUGHTRY OVER YOU 28906 -9 31815 402072

38 26 JEAN*WYCLEF FEATURING AKON, LI SWEETEST GIRL (DOLLAR BILL) 27447 20 22863 190969

25 27 J. HOLIDAY BED 26462 -11 29624 415135

50 28 PLIES FEATURING AKON HYPNOTIZED 26228 33 19661 109896

29 29 PLAYAZ CIRCLE DUFFLE BAG BOY 26002 2 25461 121296

35 30 THE-DREAM SHAWTY IS A 10 24586 6 23207 126722

28 31 LIFEHOUSE FIRST TIME 23890 -11 26730 634740

42 32 SWIFT*TAYLOR OUR SONG 23170 5 21967 305461

30 33 BOYS LIKE GIRLS GREAT ESCAPE 22414 -12 25438 874024

33 34 RIHANNA UMBRELLA 22300 -8 24192 2122399

37 35 PARAMORE MISERY BUSINESS 22229 -3 23004 457242

31 36 PLAIN WHITE T'S HEY THERE DELILAH 22120 -13 25324 2317996

32 37 PINK WHO KNEW 21563 -13 24769 764131

101 38 JACKSON*MICHAEL THRILLER 21201 138 8914 521926

54 39 DJ NASTY BAY BAY 21194 12 18853 872964

27 40 FEIST 1234 21002 -23 27319 466840

82 41 JAY-Z BLUE MAGIC 20574 71 12061 75985

39 42 SOULJA BOY TELL'EM SOULJA GIRL 20491 -10 22831 88213

36 43 LINKIN PARK BLEED IT OUT 20012 -13 23111 365958

47 44 FABOLOUS BABY DON'T GO 20008 -4 20807 167883

49 45 LINKIN PARK WHAT I'VE DONE 19252 -4 20110 1172194

44 46 MY CHEMICAL ROMANCE TEENAGERS 18660 -14 21658 486214

41 47 FOO FIGHTERS PRETENDER 18351 -17 22070 266400

34 48 KINGSTON*SEAN ME LOVE 18233 -23 23542 616738

40 49 T-PAIN BARTENDER 18129 -19 22383 911191

51 50 JONAS BROTHERS S.O.S. 17900 -7 19184 463714

A FEW BONUSES:

89 67 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE BEFORE HE CHEATS 13874 29 10726 1874164

-- 88 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE JUST A DREAM 10409 999 0 10409

106 94 TISDALE*ASHLEY HE SAID, SHE SAID 9960 20 8319 190977

141 96 BAREILLES*SARA LOVE SONG 9468 55 6100 67334

-- 104 DAFT PUNK HARDER, BETTER, FASTER, STRONG 8795 99 4421 126992

-- 122 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE FLAT ON THE FLOOR 7221 999 0 7221

-- 131 LOPEZ*JENNIFER LET'S GET LOUD 6767 393 1374 122381

-- 184 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE ALL-AMERICAN GIRL 5208 999 0 5208

-- 197 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE JESUS, TAKE THE WHEEL 5045 63 3101 1078134

Halloween songs:

101 38 JACKSON*MICHAEL THRILLER 21201 138 8914 521926

145 59 PICKETT*BOBBY BORIS MONSTER MASH 16573 179 5950 110704

-- 95 PARKER*RAY JR. GHOSTBUSTERS 9555 159 3696 126499

-- 98 CARPENTER*JOHN HALLOWEEN THEME (MAIN TITLE) 9247 198 3099 60592

-- 113 ELFMAN*DANNY THIS IS HALLOWEEN 7970 115 3710 77093

-- 135 ZEVON*WARREN WEREWOLVES OF LONDON 6639 103 3271 192335

-- 139 DANIELS*CHARLIE BAND DEVIL WENT DOWN TO GEORGIA 6567 61 4091 512626

-- 173 METALLICA ENTER SANDMAN 5413 8 4995 375682

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Billboard.com:

Underwood Leads Three Country Debuts Onto Chart

October 31, 2007

by Katie Hasty, N.Y.

In a Billboard 200 first, three country debuts occupy the Nos. 1-3 slots on the chart, led by Carrie Underwood's "Carnival Ride." The 19 Recordings/Arista Nashville set sold 527,000 copies in the United States, according to Nielsen SoundScan, earning the artist her first No. 1.

The total is a much better sum than the 315,000 that greeted her No. 2 2005 debut "Some Hearts." It's also the best sales week for a female solo country artist since Shania Twain's "Greatest Hits" started with 530,000 in November 2004.

Robert Plant and Alison Krauss' "Raising Sand" (Rounder) opens at No. 2, selling 112,000. It's the highest charting album for both as solo artists and Krauss' first time in the top 10.

Country singer Gary Allan's MCA Nashville set "Living Hard" enters at No. 3 with 69,000. It's not his first trip into the top five this year, however: his "Greatest Hits" debuted at No. 5 in March. "Tough All Over," his album from 2005, also achieved a No. 3 entry.

System Of A Down frontman Serj Tankian's solo debut, "Elect the Dead" (Serjical Strike/Reprise) also bows with 69,000, a couple hundred short of Allen's sum, at No. 4. SOAD's last album, 2005's "Hypnotize," bowed at No. 1 with 320,000.

Josh Groban's holiday album "Noel" (143/Reprise) slips 4-5 with 65,000, a 2% sales increase. Moving 62,000, rock act Coheed & Cambria's "No World for Tomorrow" (Columbia) starts at No. 6, a charting best. The group's 2005 album, "Good Apollo I'm Burning Star IV," debuted at No. 7, but moved 84,000 in its first week.

Kid Rock's Top Dog/Atlantic set, "Rock N Roll Jesus," falls 2-7 with 61,000 (-21%), while Rascal Flatts' Lyric Street album "Still Feels Good" descends 3-8 with 57,000 (-19%).

Rock combo Seether's "Finding Beauty in Negative Spaces" (Wind-Up) bows at No. 9 with 57,000. The band's last studio set, 2005's "Karma and Effect," entered at No. 8 with 82,000. Disney's soundtrack to "High School Musical 2" rounds out the top tier, slipping 7-10 with 57,000 (-1%).

Neil Young's Reprise set "Chrome Dreams II" drives in at No. 11 with 54,000. Young impacted the top 10 earlier this year with "Live at Massey Hall 1971," which bowed at No. 6. His last studio set, 2006's "Living with War," entered at No. 15 with 60,000.

Latin artist Juanes starts at No. 13 with "La Vida ... Es Un Ratico." The Universal Latino album moved 47,000, which bests the No. 33/34,000 start of 2004's "Mi Sangre." Other big chart debuts this week include Hurricane Chris' "51/50 Ratchet" (J) at No. 24 with 26,000, rock act Say Anything's "In Defense of the Genre" (J) at No. 27 with 25,000 and Ryan Adams & the Cardinals' "Follow the Lights" EP (Lost Highway) at No. 40 with 19,000.

Album sales are up 5.2% from last week at 8.34 million units and down 16.8% from the same week in 2006 (10.03 million).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was expecting Juanes to go Top 10, like Mana and Luis Miguel or *gasp* RBD :confused:

Did J.Lo's Spanish album had bigger first-week sales than Juanes? That'd be a travesty!

OMG did RBD go top ten in the States!?!? I had never heard of them until I came to Puerto Rico to live part time and they are massive here. My boyfriend loves that teeny-bopper shit and he adores them, he actually bought tickets to go see them :confused: ........but I think he realized he'd be the only one over 13 so he gave the tickets away...lol....not only that, but I wasn't about to go to an RBD concert. :noway:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

HITS:

Britney Spears’ Blackout album will debut on next week’s HITS chart at #1, with an impressive total that could threaten 400k. As it is, the beleaguered grown-up teen diva looks on target to sell between 350-380k, which ain’t bad at all.

Gimme more indeed. Eat your heart out, Perez Hilton.

For ZLG’s Barry Weiss, next week’s chart will be a treat as he pulls a mean trick, with Jive’s Backstreet Boys joining labelmate Spears by vying for the week’s second-highest debut with a total for their Unbreakable album that could top 100k.

The boys to men will battle it out with WB’s art-metal band Avenged Sevenfold, who will rely on a strong presence at youth lifestyle retailer Hot Topic with their self-titled fourth album to challenge with sales between 90-100k.

MCA Nashville’s Josh Turner is up next as his new album, Everything Is Fine, lives up to its title with a one-week sales estimate of 80k, mas or menos.

Andrea Bocelli’s best of on Decca is in line to sell between 50-60k, but at this time of year, it could go ever higher, though the requisite PBS drive doesn’t start until December.

Thanks to Carrie Underwood, the market was up 5% vs last week, down nearly 17% vs same week last year and now down 14.5% year-to-date. Now that’s scary.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest nothingfails0603

what was britney's opening for her last studio album? it was over 600k wasn't it? that's a steep fall.

well, she actually CARED when In The Zone came out :lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...